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OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
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阿克苏河流域气候变化对潜在蒸散量影响分析
DOI: 10.11821/xb201011006, PP. 1363-1370
Keywords: 气候变化,潜在蒸散发,Penman-Monteith公式,阿克苏河流域
Abstract:
蒸散发是水文过程的关键环节，研究气候因子对潜在蒸散发的影响，有助于深入认识水文过程对气候变化的响应。本文基于阿克苏河流域1960-2007年逐日气象资料和Penman-Monteith公式，估算并分析参考作物蒸散量(RET)时空变化特征，并用多元回归方法定量区分气候因子变化对RET变化的贡献率。研究发现流域RET空间差异明显，东部平原区平均年RET为1100mm左右，是西部山区的近2倍；东南部绿洲区的RET显著减少，而西部变化复杂。RET变化趋势的季节差异也很显著，以夏季变幅最大，是年变化的主要贡献者。高海拔地区相对湿度对RET变化影响最大，其它区域的风速变化对RET变化的贡献率最高。库车和乌恰站的风速变化对RET变化的贡献率大于50%，是RET变化的主导因素。
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