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OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
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基于统计模型识别气候变化对农业产量贡献的研究进展
DOI: 10.11821/xb201209006, PP. 1213-1222
Keywords: 气候变化,产量,影响,适应,统计模型
Abstract:
从统计模型与作物机理模型的区别与联系出发,介绍了识别气候变化对农业产量贡献的3种主要统计模型,即时间序列模型、截面模型和面板模型;综述了前人在站点和区域(全球、国家、省级、地区、县级)尺度对这一问题的研究进展;总结了应用统计模型识别农业产量对气候变化响应敏感性的4个主要问题,包括时空尺度问题、产量的非气候趋势去除问题、气候要素间的自相关问题和忽略适应措施的问题;最后针对以上主要问题,提出了改进建议及今后研究的发展趋势。
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