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OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
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1766年以来黄河中游与永定河汛期径流量的变化
, PP. 975-982
Keywords: 径流量,气候变化,永定河,黄河
Abstract:
利用清代志桩涨水尺寸和雨分寸记录、近现代器测水文与降雨数据等多种资料,重建/修正了永定河卢沟桥断面和黄河三门峡断面1766-2004年的汛期径流量(m3/s),其在夏秋汛期的多年平均径流量分别为109.0m3/s和5121.1m3/s。并依据多年径流量平均值±1个标准差值得出了新的丰—枯水发生年表。小波分析显示两者具有较为明显的30~40年周期,1920年之后,永定河持续性的枯流使河流水量变化周期消失,黄河中游的高频周期则更加发育。两者在1780-1900年存在20年尺度上的变化同步性现象,而1840-1860年代和1890-1910年代两者出现了明显的反相位现象。从1766年以来的情况分析,中国东部季风区进入20世纪暖期之后,黄河中游与永定河卢沟桥以上流域的汛期降雨基本为反相关关系。
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