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地理学报  2008 

阿克苏河径流变化与北大西洋涛动的关系

DOI: 10.11821/xb200805005, PP. 491-501

Keywords: 阿克苏河,径流,NAO,交叉小波,突变检验

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Abstract:

使用小波、交叉小波多尺度分析、相关和突变检验以及线性趋势等方法研究了阿克苏河天然径流与北大西洋涛动的关系。结论如下(1)对NAO与阿克苏河径流的年代际变化、周期、相关等分析表明两者关系密切;(2)交叉小波谱表明阿克苏河径流与NAO在年、冬季和夏季各周期尺度上的20世纪90年代相关性高,相关显著区多集中在90年代;(3)阿克苏河径流与NAO年代趋势强弱变化具有一致性;(4)NAO突变影响阿克苏河径流突变;(5)NAO通过大气环流变化来影响阿克苏河流域温度和降水,进而影响其径流。

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