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OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
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NCEP/NCAR再分析资料在珠穆朗玛峰—念青唐古拉山脉气象研究中的可信性
DOI: 10.11821/xb200703004, PP. 268-278
Keywords: 珠穆朗玛峰,念青唐古拉山脉,NCEP/NCAR,喜马拉雅山脉—青藏高原
Abstract:
由于珠穆朗玛峰-念青唐古拉山脉极高山区特殊的自然环境,这一带的气象观测资料极其匮乏。2003年在青藏高原南部念青唐古拉山脉(30o24'44.3"N,90o34'13.1"E,5850ma.s.l.)建立了自动气象站;2005年在珠穆朗玛峰北坡垭口(28o01'0.95"N,86o57'48.4"E,6523ma.s.l.)建立了自动气象站。利用这两自动气象站的观测资料与NCEP/NCAR再分析资料进行对比,检验NCEP/NCAR再分析数据在喜马拉雅山脉—青藏高原南部一带的可行性。研究结果表明,NCEP/NCAR再分析资料能够较好地反映气压和气温的天气尺度的变化。但是,再分析的气压和气温值系统性低于相应观测值,而且,某种程度上,低估了实际的变化幅度;再分析天气事件,在珠穆朗玛峰地区,超前于实际观测一日发生,而在念青唐古拉地区,基本上是与观测事件同一日发生。由于受相似大气环流的影响,珠峰和念青两者之间的观测资料、再分析资料都高度相关。
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