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OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
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鄱阳湖区洪灾风险与农户脆弱性分析
DOI: 10.11821/xb200703009, PP. 321-332
Keywords: 洪涝灾害,农户,脆弱性分析,鄱阳湖区
Abstract:
运用15万DEM地形数据对鄱阳湖区洪涝灾害风险区区域范围及空间分布进行了分析。在此基础上,以乡镇为基本研究单元,选取乡村人口比重、耕地面积比重为洪灾风险暴露分析指标,选取单位面积生产总值、农民人均纯收入、第一产业从业人员比重、农业收入占农村经济总收入比重等为农户洪灾应对能力分析指标,并引入了不同洪水水位特征值的影响系数,对鄱阳湖区农户洪灾脆弱性程度进行了定量研究。结果表明,鄱阳湖洪灾风险区面积广、影响深,农户对洪涝灾害总体上存在着较高的脆弱性;在所涉及的180个乡镇中,农户脆弱度高于平均值的有100个,占到乡镇数55.56%。脆弱度最高的乡镇主要集中在滨湖地带及五河干流沿岸地区,而脆弱度较低的乡镇则主要分布在湖区各县城关镇所在区域。
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