|
OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
|
|
|
|
条件价值法中的偏差分析及信度和效度检验——以九寨沟游憩价值评估为例
DOI: 10.11821/xb201102012, PP. 267-278
Keywords: 条件价值法(CVM),旅游资源价值,偏差,信度,效度,九寨沟
Abstract:
条件价值法(CVM)是一种基于虚拟市场的公共物品价值评估方法，其假想性使得人们对其信度和效度缺乏信任，评估结果的精度成为学术界广泛争议的焦点。采用CVM价值评估方法，对九寨沟世界自然遗产地的游憩价值进行了评估，并结合国内其他相关文献，对CVM在旅游资源价值评估中存在的偏差进行了分析述评，最后对CVM的评估结果进行了再测信度、内容效度和收敛效度检验。研究发现①九寨沟旅游资源2008、2009年的游憩价值分别为3.33亿元、3.46亿元。与其他方法相比，CVM的评估结果明显偏低。②CVM在旅游资源价值评估中存在的偏差包括研究方法本身的偏差和研究实施过程中产生的偏差。前者包括假想偏差、信息偏差、抗议性偏差以及策略性偏差等；后者包括CVM调查在总体和样本的界定、样本规模的确定、抽样方式的选择、调查方式和回收率、数据的统计和分析等环节出现的偏差。③再测信度检验表明本研究的信度较高，即评估结果具有较高的稳定性和可重复性；而内容效度和收敛效度检验则表明本研究对九寨沟进行的CVM调查不具有良好的效度，CVM有低估旅游资源价值的倾向。④CVM今后的研究重点应从个案研究向信度和效度检验转向，为此需要尽快建立完善适合发展中国家的CVM实施规范，提高CVM评估结果的信度和效度。
| [1] | CostanzaR,dArgeR,deGrootRetal.Thevalueoftheworld'secosystemservicesandnaturalcapital.Nature,1997,387:253-260.
|
| [2] | XueDayuan.EconomicValuationofBiodiversity:ACaseStudyonChangbaishanMountainBiosphereReserveinNotheastChina.Beijing:ChinaEnvironmentalSciencePress,1997.[薛达元.生物多样性经济价值评估:长白山自然保护区案例研究.北京:中国环境科学出版社,1997.]
|
| [3] | BaiMo.ThestudyofcontingentvaluationmethodabouteconomicevaluationofenvironmentinBeijing[D].Beijing:PekingUniversity,2001.[白墨.北京市环境经济评估的意愿调查法研究[D].北京:北京大学,2001.]
|
| [4] | LiuYaping,PanXiaofang,ZhongQiupingetal..Analyzingabouttheassessmentoftherecreationalvalueofthenaturalspacesinecotourismdistricts:ApplyingcontingentvaluationmethodandtravelcostmethodtoanalyzetherecreationalvalueofWulingyuanScenicResort.ActaEcologicaSinica,2006,26(11):3766-3774.[刘亚萍,潘晓芳,钟秋平等.生态旅游区自然环境的游憩价值:运用条件价值评价法和旅行费用法对武陵源风景区进行实证分析.生态学报,2006,26(11):3766-3774.]
|
| [5] | XuLizhong,WuChunshan,WangFeifengetal..Testingreliabilityofthecontigentvaluationmethod:Acasestudyonthetourismattractionnon-usevalue.ActaEcologicaSinica,2007,27(10):4302-4309.[许丽忠,吴春山,王菲凤等.条件价值法评估旅游资源非使用价值的可靠性检验.生态学报,2007,27(10):4302-4309.]
|
| [6] | LiuCaixia.Thestudyoftourismresourceeconomicva1uesformountainEmeiscenicspots[D].Chengdu:SouthwestJiaotongUniversity,2008.[刘彩霞.峨眉山风景名胜区旅游资源经济价值评估研究[D].成都：西南交通大学,2008.]
|
| [7] | GuoLiang.Thenon-uesvalueassessmentofWudalianchitourismresources[D].Harbin:HarbinInstituteofTechnology,2007.[郭亮.五大连池旅游资源非使用价值评估[D].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工业大学,2007.]
|
| [8] | YuWenwen.ApplicationofContingentValuationMethod(CVM)invaluingeco-tourismresources:AcasestudyofBeijingBotanicalGarden[D].Beijing:CapitalNormalUniversity,2008.[于雯雯.CVM方法在生态旅游资源价值评估中的应用:以北京植物园为例[D].北京:首都师范大学,2008.]
|
| [9] | CaiYinying,ZhangAnlu.MeasuringrecreationavalueandexistencevalueofagriculturalandinShiliuhongleisurefarminWuhan.ActaEcologicaSinica,2008,28(3):1201-1209.[蔡银莺,张安录.武汉市石榴红农场休闲景观的游憩价值和存在价值估算.生态学报,2008,28(3):1201-1209.]
|
| [10] | NationalOceanicandAtmosphericAdministration.ReportoftheNOAAPanelonCcontingentValuation.FederalRegister,1993,58(10):4601-4614.
|
| [11] | RuijgrokECM.Thethreeeconomicvaluesofculturalheritage:AcasestudyintheNetherlands.JournalofCulturalHeritage,2006,7:206-213.
|
| [12] | KimSS,WongKKF,ChoM.Assessingtheeconomicvalueofaworldheritagesiteandwillingness-to-paydeterminants:AcaseofChangdeokPalace.TourismManagement,2007,28:317-322.
|
| [13] | DuttaM,BanerjeeS,HusainZ.Untappeddemandforheritage:AcontingentvaluationstudyofPrinsepGhat,Calcutta.TourismManagement,2007,28:83-95.
|
| [14] | TuanTH,NavrudS.Capturingthebenefitsofpreservingculturalheritage.JournalofCulturalHeritage,2008,9:326-337.
|
| [15] | VerbicM,Slabe-ErkerR.Aneconometricanalysisofwillingness-to-payforsustainabledevelopment:AcasestudyoftheVolcjiPotoklandscapearea.EcologicalEconomics,2009,68:1316-1328.
|
| [16] | DelSazSalazarS,MontagudMarquesJ.Valuingculturalheritage:ThesocialbenefitsofrestoringandoldArabtower.JournalofCulturalHeritage,2005,6:69-77.
|
| [17] | CarsonRT.ContingentValuation:Auser'sguide.EnvironmentalSciencesandTechnology,2000,34:1413-1418.
|
| [18] | VenkatachalamL.Thecontingentvaluationmethod:Areview.EnvironmentalImpactAssessmentReview,2004,24:89-124.
|
| [19] | CummingsRG,BorokshireDS,SchulzeWD.Valuingtheenvironmenatlgoods:Astateoftheartsassessmentofthecontingentvaluation.Totowa,NJ:RowemanandAllnaheld,1986.
|
| [20] | BatemanIJ,TurnerRK.Valuationofenvironment,methodsandtechniques:thecontingentvaluationmethod//TurnerRK.SustainableEnvironmentalEconomicesandManagement:PrinciplesandPractice.London:BelhavenPress,1993:120-191.
|
| [21] | ZhaoJun,YangKai.Valuationofnaturalresourcesandenvironment:ContingentvaluationmethodanditsapplicationprinciplesinChina.JournalofNaturalResources,2006,21(5):834-843.[赵军,杨凯.自然资源与环境价值评估:条件估值法及应用原则探讨.自然资源学报,2006,21(5):834-843]
|
| [22] | ScheafferRL,MendenhallW,OttRL.ElementarySurveySampling.6thed.Boston:DuxburyPress,2006:126.
|
| [23] | MitchellRC,CarsonRT.UsingSurveystoValuePublicGoods:TheContingentValuationMethod.WashingtonDC:ResourcesfortheFuture,1989.
|
| [24] | BabbieE.QiuZeqitrans.ThePracticeofSocialResearch.8thed.WedsworthInc.,2000.[艾尔·巴比著,邱泽奇译.社会研究方法.北京:华夏出版社,2002:95-98.]
|
| [25] | LoomisJB,BatemanI.Someempiricalevidenceonembeddingeffectincontingentvaluationofforestprotection.JournalofEnvironmentalEconomicsandManagement,1993,24(1):45-55.
|
| [26] | ChaudhryP,TewariVP.AcomparisonbetweenTCMandCVMinassessingtherecreationalusevalueofurbanforestry.InternationalForestryReview,2006,8(4):439-448.
|
| [27] | OECD.TheEconomicAppraisalofEnvironmentalProjectsandPolicies:APracticalGuide.Beijing:ChinaEnvironmentalSciencePress,1996:49-121.[经济合作与发展组织(OECD).施涵、陈松译.环境项目和政策的经济评价指南.北京:中国环境科学出版社,1996:49-121.]
|
| [28] | Ciriacy-WantrupSV.Capitalreturnsfromsoil-conservationpractices.JournalofFarmEconomics,1947,29:1181-1196.
|
| [29] | DavisRK.Recreationplanningasaneconomicproblem.NaturalResoureesJournal,1963,(3):239-249.
|
| [30] | ZhangZhiqiang,XuZhongmin,ChengGuodongetal.ContingentvaluationoftheeconomicbenefitsofrestoringecosystemservicesofZhangyePrefectureofHeiheRiverBasin.ActaEcologicaSinica,2002,22(6):885-893.[张志强,徐中民,程国栋等.黑河流域张掖地区生态系统服务恢复的条件价值评估.生态学报,2002,22(6):885-893.]
|
| [31] | XuZhongmin,ZhangZhiqiang,ChengGuodongetal.MeasuringthetotaleconomicvalueofrestoringEjinaBanner'secosystemservices.ActaGeographicaSinica,2002,57(1):107-116.[徐中民,张志强,程国栋等.额济纳旗生态系统恢复的总经济价值评估.地理学报,2002,57(1):107-116.]
|
| [32] | ChenFu,ZhangJie.Analysisoncapitalizationaccountingoftravelvalue:AcasestudyofJiuzhaigouscenicspot.JournalofNaijingUniversity:NaturalSciences,2001,37(3):296-304.[陈浮,张捷.旅游价值货币化核算研究:九寨沟案例分析.南京大学学报:自然科学版,2001,37(3):296-304.]
|
| [33] | GuoJianying,WangNai'ang.Evaluationofthenon-usevaluesoftouristresourcesofDunhuang.ResourcesScience,2005,27(5):188-192.[郭剑英,王乃昂.敦煌旅游资源非使用价值评估.资源科学,2005,27(5):188-192.]
|
| [34] | JiaQuanxing.Studyonmethodandapplicationoftourismresourceva1ueevaluationbasedonconsumersurp1us[D].Chengdu:SouthwestJiaotongUniversity,2006.[贾全星.基于消费者剩余的旅游资源价值评价方法及其应用研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2006.]
|
| [35] | ZhangJinquan.Thestudyoftourismresourcenon-useva1uesformountainHuangshanscenicspotsbasedonCVM[D].Shanghai:ShanghaiNormalUniversity,2007.[张金泉.基于CVM的黄山旅游资源非使用价值评估研究[D].上海：上海师范大学,2007.]
|
| [36] | XuZhongmin,ZhangZhiqiang,ChengGuodong.Theupdateddevelopmentandapplicationofcontigentvaluationmethod(CVM).AdvancesinEarthScience,2003,18(3):455-462.[徐中民,张志强,程国栋.条件价值评估法的发展与应用.地球科学进展,2003,18(3):455-462.]
|
| [37] | ZhangYin,CaiYunlong.Usingcontingentvaluationmethodtovalueenvironmentalresources:Areview.ActaScientiarumNaturaliumUniversitatisPekinensis,2005,41(2):317-328.[张茵,蔡运龙.条件估值法评估环境资源价值的研究进展.北京大学学报:自然科学版,2005,41(2):317-328]
|
| [38] | ZhangYifei,ZhaoMin.ReviewonthevalidityandreliabilityofCVMinevaluationofecosystemserviceandacasedesignstudy.AdvancesinEarthScience,2007,22(11):1141-1149.[张翼飞,赵敏.意愿价值法评估生态服务价值的有效性与可靠性及实例设计研究.地球科学进展,2007,22(11):1141-1149.]
|
| [39] | LiWei,LiWenjun.UsingamodifiedtravelcostmethodtoevaluatetherecreationalbenefitsofJiuzhaigounaturereserve.ActaScicentiarumNaturalumUniversitisPekinesis,2003,39(4):548-555.[李巍,李文军.用改进的旅行费用法评估九寨沟的游憩价值.北京大学学报:自然科学版,2003,39(4):548-555.]
|
| [40] | ZhangYin,CaiYunlong.Usingamultiple-destination-basedzonaltravelcostmethodtoevaluatetherecreationalbenefitsofJiuzhaigouNatureReserve.JournalofNaturalResources,2004,19(5):651-661.[张茵,蔡运龙.基于分区的多目的地TCM模型及其在游憩资源价值评估中的应用:以九寨沟自然保护区为例.自然资源学报,2004,19(5):651-661.]
|
| [41] | NyborgK.Homoeconomicsandhomopoliticus:Interpretationandaggregationofenvironmentalvalues.JournalofEconomicBehavior&Organization,2000,42:305-322.
|
| [42] | FaberM,PetersenT,SchillerJ.Homoeconomicsandhomopoliticsinecologicaleconomics.EcologicalEconomics,2002,40:323-333.
|
| [43] | ZhangJie,NieXianzhong,LiShengfeng.SignificanceofkarstresearchtolocaltourisminJiuzhaigouconservation.CarsologicaSinica,1997,16(4):386-392.[张捷,聂献忠,李升峰.九寨沟自然保护区喀斯特研究的旅游业意义.中国岩溶,1997,16(4):386-392.]
|
| [44] | CarsonRT,FloresNE,MeadeNF.Contingentvaluation:Controversiesandevidence.EnvironmentalandResourceEconomics,2001,19:173-210.
|
| [45] | BatemanIJ,CarsonRT,DayBetal.Economicvaluationwithstatedpreferencetechniques:Amanual.Northampton,MA,USA:Cheltenham,UK:EdwardElgar,2002.
|
| [46] | BaileyKD.MethodsofSocialResearch.NewYork:TheFreePress,1982.[肯尼思·D·贝利著(1982).许真译.现代社会研究方法.上海:上海人民出版社,1986:90-101.]
|
| [47] | KnetschJL,DavisRK.Comparisonsofmethodsforresourceevaluation//KneeseAV,SmithSC.WaterResearch.Baltimore,MD:JohnsHopkinsUniversityPress/ResourcesfortheFuture,1966.
|
| [48] | CarsonRT,FloresNE,MartinKMetal.Contingentvaluationandrevealedpreferencemethodologies:Comparingtheestimatesforquasi-publicgoods.LandEconomics,1996,71(l):80-99.
|
Full-Text
|
|
Contact Us
service@oalib.com QQ:3279437679 
WhatsApp +8615387084133
|
|
