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地理学报  2007 

中国生产性服务业产业关联效应分析

DOI: 10.11821/xb200708004, PP. 821-830

Keywords: 生产性服务业,投入产出,产业关联,中间需求,中国

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Abstract:

以中国1997年、2002年投入产出数据为基础,运用投入产出法,对中国生产性服务业的产业关联效应进行分析。研究结果表明中国生产性服务业发展速度明显加快,在国民经济中的地位逐步上升;生产性服务业主要为第二产业服务,对第三产业的支撑、引领作用不足;第二产业(尤其是制造业)对生产性服务业的中间需求比重趋于下降,而投入到第三产业的中间服务不断上升;制造业对生产性服务业的中间需求集中在批发和零售贸易业、交通运输及仓储业这两个传统服务业,制造业生产过程对中间投入服务的消耗层次偏低;生产性服务业普遍具有“低附加值、高带动能力”的产业特性,对国民经济的推动作用普遍大于各行业受其他部门的需求拉动作用,但与国民经济其他部门的后向关联效应较弱,对国民经济的乘数推动作用不强;商务服务业具有很强的前后向关联效应,发展潜力巨大。

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