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OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
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中国省区经济增长空间分布动态
DOI: 10.11821/xb200710005, PP. 1051-1062
Keywords: 省区经济增长分布,空间相互作用,分布动态法,持续性,流动性,中国
Abstract:
采用分布动态方法(MEDD),从省区经济增长空间分布的形状和流动性两方面考察1978-2004年中国省区经济增长空间分布的动态演进,结果表明,中国省区经济增长的空间分布形态经历多极化—收敛—双峰状的变化过程,其中,俱乐部收敛省区内部的经济发展差距由扩大到再次缩小,俱乐部间的发展差距由缩小到再次扩大,说明收敛俱乐部间的经济差距在扩大。1990年后,地区经济增长的活跃性提高;转移概率矩阵、无条件和空间条件动态随机核估计及密度等高线图显示空间相互作用影响着省区经济增长未来的空间分布,空间因素是影响地区经济增长分布的重要因素,相邻地区经济增长互相依赖,因地理位置临近所产生的空间溢出效应促使了相似经济水平地区的空间聚集。
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