|
OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
|
|
|
|
近50年西藏冷暖冬的气候变化特征
DOI: 10.11821/xb201107002, PP. 885-894
Keywords: 暖冬,冷冬,西藏
Abstract:
依据中国国家标准《暖冬等级》,参照单站、区域暖冬等级标准,确定了单站和区域冷冬等级。在此基础上,分析了1961-2010年西藏18个站冷、暖冬事件的气候变化特征。结果表明近50年西藏各地冬季平均气温呈明显的升高趋势,升幅为0.29~1.04oC/10a,以班戈最大;尤其是近20年升温更强烈,达0.73~2.36oC/10a。西藏区域暖冬指数表现为显著的上升趋势,线性趋势为16.0%/10a,明显高于东北、华北、西北等区域。各站暖冬频率为32%~52%,强暖冬事件频率为6%~26%;区域暖冬共出现了21次(年),其中强暖冬事件10次(年),主要出现在21世纪初;2006年和2009年是50年中范围最广、强度最大的暖冬。各站冷冬频率为18%~40%,强冷冬事件频率为2%~20%;区域冷冬站数约以每10年12%的速率减少。区域冷冬共发生了16次(年),以20世纪60年代居多,其中区域强冷冬事件出现了8次(年),1962年是近50年中范围最广、强度最大的冷冬,1968年和1983年次之。
| [1] | GongDaoyi,WangShaowu.AbnormalwarmandcoldwinterinChinaduringthepastcentury.JournalofCatastrophology,1996,14(2):63-68.[龚道溢,王绍武.近百年我国的异常暖冬与冷冬.灾害学,1996,14(2):63-68.]
|
| [2] | ChinaMeteorologicalAdministration.ClimateandEnvironmentinChina.Beijing:ChinaMeteorologicalPress,2006.[中国气象局.中国气候与环境演变.北京:气象出版社,2006.]
|
| [3] | QinDahe,DingYihui,SuJilanetal.ClimateandEnvironmentChangeinChina.Vol.I.Beijing:SciencePress,2005:88-100.[秦大河,丁一汇,苏纪兰等.中国气候与环境演变.上卷.北京:科学出版社,2005:88-100.]
|
| [4] | DongWenjie,WeiZhigang,FanLijun.ClimaticcharacteranalysesofsnowdisastersineastQinghai-XizangPlateaulivestockfarm.PlateauMeteorology,2001,20(4):402-406.[董文杰,韦志刚,范丽军.青藏高原东部牧区雪灾的气候特征分析.高原气象,2001,20(4):402-406.]
|
| [5] | RenFumin.StudyonchangesofChina'sextremetemperaturesduring1951-1990.ScientiaAtmosphericaSinica,1998,22(2):217-227.[任福民.1951-1990年中国极端气温变化分析.大气科学,1998,22(2):217-227.]
|
| [6] | LiChongyin.ElNinoandwarmwinterovereasternChina.ChineseScienceBulletin,1989,34(4):283-286.[李崇银.中国东部地区的暖冬与厄尔尼诺.科学通报,1989,34(4):283-286.]
|
| [7] | WangLing,ZhangQiang,ChenYuetal.ChangesofwarmerwinterandwintertemperatureoverChinainthepast50years.AdvancesinClimateChangeResearch,2007,3(1):26-30.[王凌,张强,陈裕等.1956-2005年中国暖冬和冬季变化.气候变化研究进展,2007,3(1):26-30.]
|
| [8] | HeHao,LuoHui,GaoHongyanetal.ThestandardsofcolderandwarmerwintersinShaanxiProvinceandtheiratmosphericcirculationcharacteristics.PlateauMeteorology,2007,26(4):759-764.[贺皓,罗慧,高红燕等.陕西冷暖冬年的标准及平均环流特征分析.高原气象,2007,26(4):759-764.]
|
| [9] | WangShaowu.ClimatologicalaspectsofseverewintersinChina.AdvancesinClimateChangeResearch,2008,4(2):68-72.[王绍武.中国冷冬的气候特征.气候变化研究进展,2008,4(2):68-72.]
|
| [10] | ZhangZiyin,GongDaoyi,GuoDongetal.AnomalouswintertemperatureandprecipitationeventsinsouthernChina.ActaGeographicaSinica,2009,63(9):899-912.[张自银,龚道溢,郭栋等.我国南方冬季异常低温和异常降水事件分析.地理学报,2009,63(9):899-912.]
|
| [11] | WangZunya,ZhangQiang,ChenYuetal.Charactersofmeteorologicaldisasterscausedbytheextremesynopticprocessinearly2008overChina.AdvancesinClimateChangeResearch,2008,4(2):63-67.[王遵娅,张强,陈峪等.2008年我初我国低温雨雪冰冻灾害的气候特征.气候变化研究进展,2008,4(2):63-67.]
|
| [12] | PanBaotian,LiJijun.Qinghai-TibetanPlateau:Adriverandamplifieroftheglobalclimaticchange(III).JournalofLanzhouUniversity:NaturalScienceEdition,1996,32(1):108-115.[潘保田,李吉均.青藏高原:全球气候变化的驱动机与放大器(III).兰州大学学报:自然科学版,1996,32(1):108-115.]
|
| [13] | YaoTandong,LiuXiaodong,WangNinglian.AmplitudeofclimaticchangeinQinghai-TibetanPlateau.ChineseScienceBulletin,2000,45(1):98-106.[姚檀栋,刘晓东,王宁练.青藏高原地区的气候变化幅度问题.科学通报,2000,45(1):98-106.]
|
| [14] | Fengsong,YaoTandong.TemperaturevariationsoverQinghai-XizangPlateauinthepast600years.PlateauMeteorology,2001,20(1):105-108.[冯松,姚檀栋.青藏高原近600年的温度变化.高原气象,2001,20(1):105-108.]
|
| [15] | CaiYin,LiDongliang,TangMaocangetal.DecadaltemperaturechangesoverQinghai-XizangPlateauinrecent50years.PlateauMeteorology,2003,22(5):464-470.[蔡英,李栋梁,汤懋苍等.青藏高原近50年来气温的年代际变化.高原气象,2003,22(5):464-470.]
|
| [16] | WeiZhigang,HuangRonghui,DongWenjie.InterannualandinterdecadalvariationsofairtemperatureandprecipitationovertheTibetanPlateau.ChineseJournalofAtmosphericSciences,2003,27(2):157-170.[韦志刚,黄荣辉,董文杰.青藏高原气温和降水的年际和年代际变化.大气科学,2003,27(2):157-170.]
|
| [17] | WuXiangding,LinZhenyao.SomecharacteristicsoftheclimaticchangesduringthehistoricaltimeofQinghai-XizangPlateau.ActaMeteorologicaSinica,1981,39(1):90-97.[吴祥定,林振耀.历史时期青藏高原气候变化特征的初步分析.气象学报,1981,39(1):90-97.]
|
| [18] | DuWupeng,MiaoQilong.Meteorologicalfactorsofwarmwinterandanalysisofitseffectsonagricultureandforestry.JournalofAnhuiAgri.Sci.,2005,33(3):471-472.[杜吴鹏,缪启龙.暖冬的气象成因及对农林业的影响.安徽农业科学,2005,33(3):471-472.]
|
| [19] | SunLinhai,ZhaoZhenguo.AnalysisofwarmwinterinChina.MeteorologicalMonthly,2004,30(12):57-60.[孙林海,赵振国.我国暖冬气候及其成因分析.气象,2004,30(12):57-60.]
|
| [20] | XuHong,YuLingxiang.Spatial-temporalchangesofwarmerwinterinYunnanduring1971-2006.YunnanGeographicEnvironmentResearch,2009,21(6):22-24.[徐虹,余凌翔.云南1971-2006年暖冬的时空变化分析.云南地理环境研究,2009,21(6):22-24.]
|
| [21] | ChenYu,RenGuoyu,WangLingetal.Temporalchangeofwarmwintereventsoverthelast56yearsinChina.JournalofAppliedMeteorologicalScience,2009,20(5):539-545.[陈峪,任国玉,王凌等.近56年我国暖冬气候事件变化.应用气象学报,2009,20(5):539-545.]
|
| [22] | FengSong,TangMaocang,WangDongmei.NewevidenceoftheQinghai-Xizang(Tibet)PlateauasapilotregionofclimaticfluctuationinChina.ChineseScienceBulletin,1998,43(6):633-636.[冯松,汤懋苍,王冬梅.青藏高原是我国气候变化启动区的新证据.科学通报,1998,43(6):633-636.]
|
| [23] | WuShaohong,YinYunhe,ZhengDuetal.ClimatechangesintheTibetanPlateauduringthelastthreedecades.ActaGeographicaSinica,2005,60(1):3-11.[吴绍洪,尹云鹤,郑度等.青藏高原近30年气候变化趋势.地理学报,2005,60(1):3-11.]
|
| [24] | DuJun.ChangeoftemperatureinTibetanPlateaufrom1961to2000.ActaGeographicaSinica,2001,56(6):682-690.[杜军.西藏高原近40年的气温变化.地理学报,2001,56(6):682-690.]
|
| [25] | ZhouNingfang,QinNingsheng,TuQipuetal.AnalysesonregionalcharacteristicsoftemperaturechangesoverQinghai-XizangPlateauinrecent50years.PlateauMeteorology,2005,24(3):344-349.[周宁芳,秦宁生,屠其璞等.近50年青藏高原地面气温变化的区域特征分析.高原气象,2005,24(3):344-349.]
|
| [26] | TanChunping,YangJisnping,MiRui.AnalysisoftheclimaticchangecharacteristicsinthesouthernTibetanPlateaufrom1971to2007.JournalofGlaciologyandGeocryology,2010,32(6):1111-1120.[谭春萍,杨建平,米睿.1971-2007年青藏高原南部气候变化特征分析.冰川冻土,2010,32(6):1111-1120.]
|
| [27] | YouQinglong,KangShichang,YanYupingetal.TrendsindailytemperatureandprecipitationextremesovertheYarlungZangboRiverbasinduring1961-2005.ActaGeographicaSinica,2009,64(5):592-600.[游庆龙,康世昌,闫宇平等.近45年雅鲁藏布江流域极端气候事件趋势分析.地理学报,2009,64(5):592-600.]
|
| [28] | WangNinglian.TheboundarybetweenthenorthernandsouthernTibetanPlateauwithdifferentvariationsinthewarmseasonairtemperaturesonthedecadaltimescale.QuaternarySciences,2006,26(2):165-172.[王宁练.青藏高原南部和北部暖季气温年代际变化差异的界线位置.第四纪研究,2006,26(2):165-172.]
|
| [29] | ZhangRenhe,ZhouShunwu.TheairtemperaturechangeovertheTibetanPlateauduring1979-2002anditspossiblelinkagewithozonedepletion.ActaMeteorologicaSinica,2008,66(6):916-925.[张人禾,周顺武.青藏高原气温变化趋势与同纬度带其他地区的差异以及臭氧的可能作用.气象学报,2008,66(6):916-925.]
|
| [30] | KangShichang,LiJijun,YaoTandongetal.AstudyoftheclimatevariationintheTibetanPlateauduringthelast50years.JournalofGlaciologyandGeocryology,1998,20(4):381-387.
|
| [31] | LiLin,ChenXiaoguang,WangZhenyuetal.ClimatechangeanditsregionaldifferencesovertheTibetanPlateau.AdvancesinClimateChangeResearch,2010,6(3):181-186.[李林,陈晓光,王振宇等.青藏高原区域气候变化及其差异性研究.气候变化研究进展,2010,6(3):181-186.]
|
| [32] | LiYueqing,LiChongyin.VariationofsummerairtemperatureontheeastsideofQinghai-XizangPlateauanditsprobablecauses.PlateauMeteorology,2003,22(Suppl.):24-31.[李跃清,李崇银.青藏高原东侧地区夏季气温变化及其可能成因.高原气象,2003,22(增刊):24-31.]
|
| [33] | ChenYu,WangLing,ZhouXukaietal.GB/T21983-2008WarmWinterGrade.NationalStandardofthePeople'sRepublicChina.Beijing:StandardsPressofChina,2008.[陈峪,王凌,邹旭恺等.GB/T21983-2008暖冬等级.中华人民共和国国家标准.北京:中国标准出版社,2008.]
|
| [34] | GongDaoyi,WangShaowu.AbnormalwarmandcoldwinterinChinaduringthepastcentury.JournalofCatastrophology,1996,14(2):63-68.[龚道溢,王绍武.近百年我国的异常暖冬与冷冬.灾害学,1996,14(2):63-68.]
|
| [35] | SunLinhai,ZhaoZhenguo.AnalysisofwarmwinterinChina.MeteorologicalMonthly,2004,30(12):57-60.[孙林海,赵振国.我国暖冬气候及其成因分析.气象,2004,30(12):57-60.]
|
| [36] | http://news.qq.com/a/20090507/001618.htm.
|
| [37] | IPCC.Summaryforpolicymakersofclimatechange2007:ThePhysicalScienceBasis.ContributionofWorkingGroupItotheFourthAssessmentReportoftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange.CambridgeUniversityPress,2007.
|
Full-Text
|
|
Contact Us
service@oalib.com QQ:3279437679 
WhatsApp +8615387084133
|
|
