|
OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
|
|
|
|
中国流动人口空间格局演变机制及城镇化效应——基于2000和2010年人口普查分县数据的分析
DOI: 10.11821/dlxb201504005, PP. 567-581
Keywords: 流动人口,空间格局,城镇化,城镇体系,城市群,人口普查,中国
Abstract:
基于2000和2010年全国人口普查分县数据,对中国流动人口空间格局的演变特征、形成机制及其城镇化效应进行了系统分析。研究发现,流动人口分布的空间格局具有较强的稳定性,长三角、珠三角和京津冀等沿海城市群仍然是其主要集中地,且沿海集中区有连绵化的趋势,但在城市群内部的空间分布模式差异显著。流动人口向内陆地区的省会等特大城市集中趋势明显,其分布重心出现了明显的北移。省内县际的流动人口规模已接近于省际流动,且有更高的意愿和更强的能力永久居留城镇,省内县际的永久性迁移将成为未来中国人口城镇化的主导模式。中国流动人口迁入地的选择受到政府和市场双重力量的影响,后者的影响力更强。远距离流入东部地区的人口在务工之外,对享受城市生活也开始有所考虑;而中西部地区政府力量在引导人口流动中仍起到重要作用。大规模的人口流动对流出地和流入地的城镇化水平提高均有显著贡献,同时在很大程度上重构了中国城镇体系的等级规模结构和空间布局模式。
| [1] | ChanKW,ZhangL.Thehukousystemandrural-urbanmigrationinChina:Processesandchanges.TheChinaQuarterly,1999,160:818-855.
|
| [2] | BoskerM,BrakmanS,GarretsenH,etal.Relaxinghukou:IncreasedlabormobilityandChina'seconomicgeography.JournalofUrbanEconomics,2012,72(2/3):252-266.
|
| [3] | FuY,GabrielSA.Labormigration,humancapitalagglomerationandregionaldevelopmentinChina.RegionalScienceandUrbanEconomics,2012,42(3):473-484.
|
| [4] | MaHongqi,ChenZhongchang.Patternsofinter-provincialmigrationinChina:Evidencefromthesixthpopulationcensus.PopulationResearch,2012,36(6):87-99.[马红旗,陈仲常.我国省际流动人口的特征:基于全国第六次人口普查数据.人口研究,2012,36(6):87-99.]
|
| [5] | LuC,WuY,ShenQ,etal.Drivingforceofurbangrowthandregionalplanning:AcasestudyofChina'sGuangdongProvince.HabitatInternational,2013,40:35-41.
|
| [6] | FanCC.ChinaontheMove:Migration,theState,andtheHousehold.LondonandNewYork:Routledge,2008.
|
| [7] | CaoGuangzhong,LiuTao.RisingroleofinlandregionsinChina'surbanizationinthe21stcentury:Thenewtrendanditsexplanation.ActaGeographicaSinica,2011,66(12):1631-1643.[曹广忠,刘涛.中国城镇化地区贡献的内陆化演变与解释:基于1982-2008年省区数据的分析.地理学报,2011,66(12):1631-1643.]
|
| [8] | ShenJF.ChangingpatternsanddeterminantsofinterprovincialmigrationinChina1985-2000.Population,SpaceandPlace,2012,18(3):384-402.
|
| [9] | WangYJ,LiHS,YuZY,etal.Approachestocensusmapping:Chinesesolutionin2010roundedcensus.ChineseGeographicalScience,2012,22(3):356-366.
|
| [10] | YuTaofang.Spatial-temporalfeaturesandinfluentialfactorsoftheChinaurbanfloatingpopulationgrowth.ChineseJournalofPopulationScience,2012(4):47-58.[于涛方.中国城市人口流动增长的空间类型及影响因素.中国人口科学,2012(4):47-58.]
|
| [11] | DingJinhong,LiuZhenyu,ChengDanming,etal.Arealdifferentiationofinter-provincialmigrationinChinaandcharacteristicsoftheflowfield.ActaGeographicaSinica,2005,60(1):106-114.[丁金宏,刘振宇,程丹明,等.中国人口迁移的区域差异与流场特征.地理学报,2005,60(1):106-114.]
|
| [12] | DuanChengrong.InfluencingfactorsofdestinationchoiceofChina'sinter-provincialmigrants.PopulationResearch,2001,25(1):57-61.[段成荣.省际人口迁移迁入地选择的影响因素分析.人口研究,2001,25(1):57-61.]
|
| [13] | LiWei.SpatialpatternofChina'sinter-provincialmigration.PopulationResearch,2008,32(4):86-96.[李薇.我国人口省际迁移空间模式分析.人口研究,2008,32(4):86-96.]
|
| [14] | WangGuixin,PanZehan,LuYanqiu.China'sinter-provincialmigrationpatternsandinfluentialfactors:Evidencefromyear2000and2010populationcensusofChina.ChineseJournalofPopulationScience,2012,(5):2-13.[王桂新,潘泽瀚,陆燕秋.中国省际人口迁移区域模式变化及其影响因素:基于2000和2010年人口普查资料的分析.中国人口科学,2012,(5):2-13.]
|
| [15] | WangGuoxia,QinZhiqin,ChengLilin.SpatialdistributionofpopulationmigrationinChinainthe1990s.ScientiaGeographicaSinica,2012,32(3):273-281.[王国霞,秦志琴,程丽琳.20世纪末中国迁移人口空间分布格局:基于城市的视角.地理科学,2012,32(3):273-281.]
|
| [16] | YanShanping.Inter-provincialmigrationanditsdeterminantsinthe1990'sChina.ChineseJournalofPopulationScience,2007(1):71-77.[严善平.中国省际人口流动的机制研究.中国人口科学,2007(1):71-77.]
|
| [17] | GuChaolin,CaiJianming,ZhangWeietal.AstudyonthepatternsofmigrationinChineselargeandmediumcities.ActaGeographicaSinica,1999,54(3):204-212.[顾朝林,蔡建明,张伟,等.中国大中城市流动人口迁移规律研究.地理学报,1999,54(3):204-212.]
|
| [18] | ZhaoYH.Leavingthecountryside:Rural-to-urbanmigrationdecisionsinChina.TheAmericanEconomicReview,1999,89(2):281-286.
|
| [19] | ZhuN.TheimpactsofincomegapsonmigrationdecisionsinChina.ChinaEconomicReview,2002,13(2-3):213-230.
|
| [20] | MullanK,GrosjeanP,KontoleonA.Landtenurearrangementsandrural-urbanmigrationinChina.WorldDevelopment,2011,39(1):123-133.
|
| [21] | ShenJF.IncreasinginternalmigrationinChinafrom1985to2005:Institutionalversuseconomicdrivers.HabitatInternational,2013,39:1-7.
|
| [22] | LiangZ,WhiteMJ.Markettransition,governmentpolicies,andinterprovincialmigrationinChina:1983-1988.EconomicDevelopmentandCulturalChange,1997,45(2):321-339.
|
| [23] | DuXiaomin,ChenJianbao.EmpiricalanalysisonimpactsofmigrationwithandwithouthukouchangeonChina'sprovincialeconomy.PopulationResearch,2010,34(3):77-88.[杜小敏,陈建宝.人口迁移与流动对我国各地区经济影响的实证分析.人口研究,2010,34(3):77-88.]
|
| [24] | DuanPingzhong.ImpactofpopulationmobilityonconvergenceeffectofregionaleconomicgrowthinChina.Population&Economics,2008(4):1-5.[段平忠.我国人口流动对区域经济增长收敛效应的影响.人口与经济,2008(4):1-5.]
|
| [25] | FanShide.Estimatingtheeffectoflabormigrationonoutputofless-developedareas.ChineseRuralEconomy,2011(8):22-32.[樊士德.劳动力流动对欠发达地区产出效应的测算.中国农村经济,2011(8):22-32.]
|
| [26] | RuanRongping,LiuLi,ZhengFengtian.Effectsofbraindrainonhumancapitalaccumulationinlaboremigratingregions.ChineseJournalofPopulationScience,2011(1):83-91.[阮荣平,刘力,郑风田.人口流动对输出地人力资本影响研究.中国人口科学,2011(1):83-91.]
|
| [27] | GatrellAC.Autocorrelationinspaces.EnvironmentandPlanningA,1979,11(5):507-516.
|
| [28] | AnselinL.Localindicatorsofspatialassociation:LISA.GeographicalAnalysis,1995,27(2):93-115.
|
| [29] | LiXiaoli.AstudyonspatialstructureevolutionofthecityclusteroftheGreaterPearlRiverDelta.UrbanPlanningForum,2008(2):49-52.[李晓莉.大珠三角城市群空间结构的演变.城市规划学刊,2008(2):49-52.]
|
| [30] | MaGuoxia,XuYong,TianYujun.SpatialanalysisofeconomicgrowthconvergencemechanisminBeijing-Tianjin-HebeiMetropolitanRegion.GeographicalResearch,2007,26(3):590-598.[马国霞,徐勇,田玉军.京津冀都市圈经济增长收敛机制的空间分析.地理研究,2007,26(3):590-598.]
|
| [31] | SunDongqi,ZhangJingxiang,HuYi,etal.Theformationofmetropolitanshadowfromtheperspectiveofindustryspatialcontacts:AcomparisonbetweenChangjiangRiverDeltaandBeijing-Tianjin-HebeiMetropolitanRegion.ScientiaGeographicaSinica,2013,33(9):1043-1050.[孙东琪,张京祥,胡毅,等.基于产业空间联系的“大都市阴影区”形成机制解析:长三角城市群与京津冀城市群的比较研究.地理科学,2013,33(9):1043-1050.]
|
| [32] | QiuFangdao,TongLianjun,ZhuChuangeng,etal.Spatio-temporalpatternanddrivingmechanismofeconomicdevelopmentdiscrepancyinprovincialborder-regions:AcasestudyofHuaihaieconomiczone.GeographicalResearch,2009,28(2):451-463.[仇方道,佟连军,朱传耿,等.省际边缘区经济发展差异时空格局及驱动机制:以淮海经济区为例.地理研究,2009,28(2):451-463.]
|
| [33] | YazgiB,DokmeciV,KoramazK,etal.Impactofcharacteristicsoforiginanddestinationprovincesonmigration:1995-2000.EuropeanPlanningStudies,2013:1-17.
|
| [34] | LiQiang.AnanalysisofpushandpullfactorsinthemigrationofruralworkersinChina.SocialSciencesinChina,2003(1):125-136.[李强.影响中国城乡流动人口的推力与拉力因素分析.中国社会科学,2003(1):125-136.]
|
| [35] | XiaoZhouyan.Hypothesisonpotentialenergyconversionofpopulationmigrationintheory:Re-interpretationofthepush-pullmigrationlaws.Population&Economics,2010(6):77-83.[肖周燕.人口迁移势能转化的理论假说:对人口迁移推—拉理论的重释.人口与经济,2010(6):77-83.]
|
| [36] | ZhuChuangeng,GuChaolin,MaRonghua,etal.TheinfluentialfactorsandspatialdistributionoffloatingpopulationinChina.ActaGeographicaSinica,2001,56(5):548-559.[朱传耿,顾朝林,马荣华,等.中国流动人口的影响要素与空间分布.地理学报,2001,56(5):548-559.]
|
| [37] | LuQi,WuPeilin,LuLixin,etal.TherelationbetweenthecharacteristicsofthemigrantsandtheeconomicdevelopmentinBeijingandtheregionaldifferentiationoftheirdistribution.ActaGeographicaSinica,2005,60(5):851-862.[鲁奇,吴佩林,鲁礼新,等.北京流动人口特征与经济发展关系的区域差异.地理学报,2005,60(5):851-862.]
|
| [38] | LiJialin,XuJiqin,LiWeifang,etal.Spatio-temporalcharacteristicsofurbanizationareagrowthintheYangtzeRiverDelta.ActaGeographicaSinica,2007,62(4):437-447.[李加林,许继琴,李伟芳,等.长江三角洲地区城市用地增长的时空特征分析.地理学报,2007,62(4):437-447.]
|
| [39] | CaiFang,DuYang.UrbanexpansionintransitionalChina:Hierarchyofcity,financingcapacityandmigrationpolicy.EconomicResearchJournal,2003(6):64-71.[蔡昉,都阳.转型中的中国城市发展:城市级层结构、融资能力与迁移政策.经济研究,2003(6):64-71.]
|
| [40] | GaoLin.Livelihoodunderdecentralization:Anempiricalstudyontheimpactoflocalfiscalautonomyoncitizens'satisfactionwithpublicservices.EconomicResearchJournal,2012(7):86-98.[高琳.分权与民生:财政自主权影响公共服务满意度的经验研究.经济研究,2012(7):86-98.]
|
| [41] | GuoQingwang,JiaJunxue.Fiscaldecentralization,governmentstructureandlocalgovernment'sexpendituresize.EconomicResearchJournal,2010(11):59-72,87.[郭庆旺,贾俊雪.财政分权、政府组织结构与地方政府支出规模.经济研究,2010(11):59-72,87.]
|
| [42] | MaLJC.Urbanadministrativerestructuring,changingscalerelationsandlocaleconomicdevelopmentinChina.PoliticalGeography,2005,24(4):477-497.
|
| [43] | WhiteH.AHeteroskedasticity-consistentcovariancematrixestimatorandadirecttestforheteroskedasticity.Econometrica,1980,48(4):817-838.
|
| [44] | LiuTao,CaoGuangzhong.Agglomerationanddispersionofcitysizesandtheinfluenceofcentralcities:Basedonthemulti-scalespatialautocorrelationandthecaseofChina.GeographicalResearch,2012,31(7):1317-1327.[刘涛,曹广忠.城市规模的空间聚散与中心城市影响力:基于中国637个城市空间自相关的实证.地理研究,2012,31(7):1317-1327.]
|
| [45] | LiuT,LinGCS.NewgeographyoflandcommodificationinChinesecities:Unevenlandscapeofurbanlanddevelopmentundermarketreformsandglobalization.AppliedGeography,2014,51:118-130.
|
| [46] | YinHeng,ZhuHong.Astudyofproductiveexpenditurebiasincounty-levelfinanceinChina.SocialSciencesinChina,2011(1):88-101.[尹恒,朱虹.县级财政生产性支出偏向研究.中国社会科学,2011(1):88-101.]
|
| [47] | ZhangKHL,SongSF.Rural-urbanmigrationandurbanizationinChina:Evidencefromtime-seriesandcross-sectionanalyses.ChinaEconomicReview,2003,14(4):386-400.
|
Full-Text
|
|
Contact Us
service@oalib.com QQ:3279437679 
WhatsApp +8615387084133
|
|
