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地理学报  2015 

中国撤县(市)设区对城市经济增长的影响分析

DOI: 10.11821/dlxb201508002, PP. 1202-1214

Keywords: 撤县(市)设区,区域经济一体化,边界,增长,短期冲击,中国

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Abstract:

撤县(市)设区是通过打破行政区经济,减少行政区边界,实现以地级市为基础的经济一体化的重要手段,采用政策评估的常用工具——倍差法,对中国1990-2007年的撤县(市)设区的样本进行了分析,发现撤县(市)设区对城市经济增长具有约5年的短期促进作用,主要表现在人均GDP增长率、人均固定资产投资增长率、人均消费增长率等方面,对人均道路面积和人均公共汽车数量的增长率则是先抑后扬,对相邻城市的经济增长则具有约2年的短期促进作用;并以佛山撤县(市)设区为案例,分析了短期促进作用的来源和长期激励消失的原因,认为基础设施投资是政府在撤县(市)设区后的主要行为,以此带动产业转移和房地产消费,进而促进了经济增长;但由于撤县(市)设区削弱了地方政府的发展权限,向上级政府集中了资源的控制权,使得地方长期经济发展的激励消失。

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