2 Palmer T N, Brankovic C, Molteni F, et al. The european centre for medium-range weather forecasts (ECMWF) program on extended-range prediction. Bull Ame Meteorol Soc, 1990, 71: 1317-1390
[3]
3 Wheeler M, Hendon H. An all-season real-time multivariate MJO index: Development of an index for monitoring and prediction. Mon Weather Rev, 2004, 132: 1917-1932
[4]
13 Lorenz E N. On the existence of extended range predictability. J Appl Meteorol, 1973, 12: 543-546
20 Li J P, Ding R Q. Temporal-spatial distribution of atmospheric predictability limit by local dynamical analogs. Mon Weather Rev, 2011, 139: 3265-3283
23 Huang J P, Yi Y H, Wang S W, et al. An analogue-dynamical long-range numerical weather prediction system incorporating historical evolution. Q J R Meteorol Soc, 1993, 119: 547-565
26 Ren H, Chou J F, Huang J P, et al. Theoretical basis and application of an analogue-dynamical model in the lorenz system. Adv Atmos Sci, 2009, 26: 67-77
30 Chen W Y, van den Dool H M. Atmospheric predictability of seasonal, annual, and decadal climate means and the role of the ENSO cycle: A model study. J Climate, 1997, 10: 1236-1254
[31]
31 Shukla J. Dynamical predictability of monthly means. J Atm Sci, 1981, 38: 2547-2572