13 Kikuchi K, Wang B, Fudeyasu H. Genesis of tropical cyclone Nargis revealed by multiple satellite observations. Geophys Res Lett, 2009, 36: L06811, doi: 10.1029/2009GL037296
[5]
14 Fu X, Hsu P. Extended-range ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclogenesis in the northern Indian Ocean: Modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation. Geophys Res Lett, 2011, 38: L15803, doi: 10.1029/2011GL048249
[6]
15 Yokoi S, Takayabu Y N. Environmental and external factors in the genesis of tropical cyclone Nargis in April 2008 over the Bay of Bengal. J Meteor Soc Japan, 2010, 88: 425-435
[7]
16 Shen B W, Tao W K, Lau W K, et al. Predicting tropical cyclogenesis with a global mesoscalemodel: Hierarchical multiscale interactions during the formation of tropical cyclone Nargis (2008). J Geophys Res, 2010, 115: D14102, doi: 10.1029/2009JD013140
[8]
17 Ng K W E, Chan J C L. Interannual variations of tropical cyclone activity over the North Indian Ocean. Int J Climatol, 2011, doi: 10.1002/joc.2304
[9]
18 Webster P J, Holland G J, Curry J A, et al. Changes in TC number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 2005, 309: 1844-1846
[10]
19 Evan A T, Kossin J P, Chung C, et al. Arabian Sea tropical cyclones intensified by emissions of black carbon and other aerosols. Nature, 2011, 479: 94-98
[11]
20 Hoarau K, Bernard J, Chalonge L. Intense tropical cyclone activities in the northern Indian Ocean. Int J Clim, 2011, doi: 10.1002/joc.2406
[12]
21 Evan A T, Camargo S J. A climatology of Arabian Sea cyclonic storms. J Clim, 2011, 24: 140-158
[13]
22 Rotunno R, Emanuel K. An air-sea interaction theory for tropical cyclones, Part II: Evolutionary study using a nonhydrostatic axisymmetric numerical model. J Atmos Sci, 1987, 44: 542-561
[14]
23 Wang C, Weisberg R H, Virmani J I. Western Pacific interannual variability associated with El Ni？o-Southern Oscillation. J Geophys Res, 1999, 104(C3): 5131-5149
[15]
24 Huang G, Qu X, Hu K M. The impact of tropical Indian Ocean SST on South Asian high in boreal summer. Adv Atmos Sci, 2011, 28: 421-432
[16]
25 Chan J C L. The physics of tropical cyclone motion. Annu Rev Fluid Mech, 2005, 37: 99-128
[17]
26 Chan J C L. Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Ni？o and La Ni？a events. J Clim, 2000, 13: 2960-2972
[18]
27 Wang B, Chan J C L. How strong ENSO events affect tropical storm activity over the western North Pacific. J Clim, 2002, 15: 1643-1658
29 Chen G, Tam T Y. Different impact of two kinds of Pacific Ocean warming on tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific. Geophys Res Lett, 2010, 37: L01803, doi: 10.1029/2009GL041708.
32 Yuan J P, Jiang J. The relationships between tropical cyclone tracks and local sst over the western north Pacific. J Trop Meteor, 2011, 17: 120-127
[24]
33 Chu J H, Sampson C R, Levine A S, et al. The joint typhoon warning center tropical cyclone best tracks, 1945-2000. Technical Report. NRL Reference Number Novmber, 2002. 2-16
[25]
34 Smith T M, Richard W R, Thomas C P, et al. Improvements to NOAA''s historical merged land-ocean surface temperature analysis (1880-2006). J Clim, 2008, 21: 2283-2296
[26]
35 Kistler R, Kalnay E, Collins W, et al. The NCEP/NCAR 50-year reanalysis. Bull Amer Meteor Soc, 2001, 82: 247-267
[27]
36 Grinsted A, Moore J C. Jevrejeva S. Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series. Nonlin Proc Geophys, 2004, 11: 561-566
[28]
37 Bretherton C S, Widmann M, Dymnikov V P, et al. The effective number of spatial degrees of freedom of a time-varying field. J Clim, 1999, 12, 1990-2009
[29]
40 Kitade T. Numerical experiment of tropical cyclones on a plane with variable coriolis parameter. J Metero Soc Japan, 1980, 58: 471-488
[30]
1 Webster P J. Myanmar''s deadly daffodil. Nat Geosci, 2008, 1: 488-490
6 Elsner J B, Liu K B. Examining the ENSO-typhoon hypothesis. Clim Res, 2003, 25: 43-54
[36]
7 Ho C H, Baik J J, Kim J H, et al. Interdecadal changes in summertime typhoon tracks. J Clim, 2004, 17: 1767-1776
[37]
8 Wu L G, Wang B. Assessing impacts of global warming on tropical cyclone tracks. J Clim, 2004, 17: 1686-1698
[38]
9 Camargo S J, Robertson A W, Gaffney S J, et al. Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part I: General properties. J Clim, 2007, 20: 3635-3653
[39]
38 Chen G H, Sui C H. Characteristics and origin of quasi-biweekly oscillation over the western North Pacific during boreal summer. J Geophys Res, 2010, 115: D14113, doi: 10.1029/2009JD013389
[40]
39 Holland G J. Tropical cyclone motion. Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting, World Meteorological Organization Tech. Document WMO/TD 560, Tropical Cyclone Programme Rep, TCP-31, Geneva, Switzerland, 1993
42 Saji N H, Goswami B N, Vinayachandran P N, et al. A dipole mode in the tropical Indian Ocean. Nature, 1999, 401: 360-363
[43]
43 Saji N H, Yamagata T. Structure of SST and surface wind variability during Indian Ocean Dipole Mode events: COADS observations. J Clim, 2003, 16: 2735-2751
[44]
44 Webster P J, Moore A M, Loschnigg J P, et al. Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997/98. Nature, 1999, 401: 356-360
