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Mathematics  2007 

A waiting time problem arising from the study of multi-stage carcinogenesis

DOI: 10.1214/08-AAP559

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Abstract:

We consider the population genetics problem: how long does it take before some member of the population has $m$ specified mutations? The case $m=2$ is relevant to onset of cancer due to the inactivation of both copies of a tumor suppressor gene. Models for larger $m$ are needed for colon cancer and other diseases where a sequence of mutations leads to cells with uncontrolled growth.

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