In this note, we analyze hitherto unstudied aspects of winter transport
provision via trucks with chains on tires. Specifically, we first construct a
discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) model of transport provision that focuses on
the movements of a representative truck in a firm’s fleet of trucks. Second, we
specify the limiting probabilities of our DTMC model of truck transport. Third,
we derive the fraction of time that the representative truck is involved in
accidents. Finally, we solve an optimization problem whose solution tells us
when the fraction of time the representative truck spends in accidents, is
maximal.
References
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Anonymous (1953) Use of Tire Chains Advised by State. New York Times, November 7.
[2]
Anonymous (1963) Tips for Winter Motorists. New York Times, December 29.
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Cobb, J.G. (2002) A Turning Point for Big Trucks. New York Times, February 3.
[4]
Fisher, P. (2005) Ch-ch-Chains. Tire Business, November 7.
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Ross, S.M. (2003) Introduction to Probability Models. 8th Edition, Academic Press, San Diego.
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Tijms, H.C. (2003) A First Course in Stochastic Models. Wiley, Chichester. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/047001363X
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Guest, M., Boggess, M.M. and Duke, J.M. (2014) Age Related Annual Crash Incidence Rate Ratios in Professional Drivers of Heavy Goods Vehicles. Transportation Research Part A, 65, 1-8.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2014.04.003