全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Winter Transport via Trucks with Chains and the Fraction of Time Spent in Accidents

DOI: 10.4236/tel.2015.56091, PP. 805-809

Keywords: Accident, Tire Chain, Transport, Truck, Uncertainty

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

In this note, we analyze hitherto unstudied aspects of winter transport provision via trucks with chains on tires. Specifically, we first construct a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) model of transport provision that focuses on the movements of a representative truck in a firm’s fleet of trucks. Second, we specify the limiting probabilities of our DTMC model of truck transport. Third, we derive the fraction of time that the representative truck is involved in accidents. Finally, we solve an optimization problem whose solution tells us when the fraction of time the representative truck spends in accidents, is maximal.

References

[1]  Anonymous (1953) Use of Tire Chains Advised by State. New York Times, November 7.
[2]  Anonymous (1963) Tips for Winter Motorists. New York Times, December 29.
[3]  Cobb, J.G. (2002) A Turning Point for Big Trucks. New York Times, February 3.
[4]  Fisher, P. (2005) Ch-ch-Chains. Tire Business, November 7.
[5]  Ross, S.M. (2003) Introduction to Probability Models. 8th Edition, Academic Press, San Diego.
[6]  Tijms, H.C. (2003) A First Course in Stochastic Models. Wiley, Chichester.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/047001363X
[7]  Golob, T.E. and Hensher, D.A. (1996) Driving Behavior of Long Distance Truck Drivers: The Effects of Schedule Compliance on Drug Use and Speeding Citations. International Journal of Transport Economics, 23, 267-301.
[8]  Cantor, D.E., Corsi, T.M., Grimm, C.M. and Ozpolat, K. (2010) A Driver Focused Truck Crash Prediction Model. Transportation Research Part E, 46, 683-692. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2009.08.011
[9]  Arentze, T., Feng, T., Timmermans, H. and Robroeks, J. (2012) Context-Dependent Influence of Road Attributes and Pricing Policies in Route Choice Behavior of Truck Drivers: Results of a Conjoint Choice Experiment. Transportation, 39, 1173-1188. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11116-012-9391-z
[10]  Guest, M., Boggess, M.M. and Duke, J.M. (2014) Age Related Annual Crash Incidence Rate Ratios in Professional Drivers of Heavy Goods Vehicles. Transportation Research Part A, 65, 1-8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2014.04.003

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133