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冰川冻土  2014 

新疆喀什地区城市自然灾害综合风险评估

DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2014.0158, PP. 1321-1327

Keywords: 自然灾害,风险评价,城市化,喀什地区

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Abstract:

在分析城市灾害风险内涵的基础上,从致灾因子、历史灾情、暴露-易损性、抗灾恢复力四个层面构建了新疆喀什地区城市灾害风险评估的二级评价指标体系,综合运用多指标综合评价模型,对喀什地区城市自然灾害进行了分析;采取1991-2011年数据对喀什地区自然灾害风险数据进行了定量评估.结果表明1991-2003年间城市自然灾害风险呈现波动趋势,2004年以后城市社会经济的快速发展等原因使自然灾害发生频率较往年呈现增长趋势,这直接影响该地区城市灾害风险变化.最后,在定量分析的基础上提出了完善城市灾害风险管理的对策和建议.

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