全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Asymmetric Information and Quantization in Financial Economics

DOI: 10.1155/2012/470293

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

We show how a quantum formulation of financial economics can be derived from asymmetries with respect to Fisher information. Our approach leverages statistical derivations of quantum mechanics which provide a natural basis for interpreting quantum formulations of social sciences generally and of economics in particular. We illustrate the utility of this approach by deriving arbitrage-free derivative-security dynamics. 1. Introduction Asymmetric information lies at the heart of capital markets and how it induces information flow and economic dynamics is a key element to understanding the structure and function of economic systems generally and of price discovery in particular [1–3]. The information-theoretic underpinnings of economics also provide a common framework through which economics can leverage results in other fields, an example being the well-known use of statistical mechanics in financial economics (see, e.g., [44, 45] and references therein). In addition to the statistical-mechanics representation of financial economics, however, a quantum-mechanics representation has also emerged (see [5, 18–30, 42, 46–48]) and the purpose of this paper is to show that this quantum framework too can be derived from asymmetric information, thus providing a more comprehensive information-theoretic basis for financial economics. Financial economics is unique among economic disciplines in the extent to which stochastic processes are employed as an explanatory framework, a ubiquity epitomized in the modeling of financial derivatives.1 Building on a history of shared metaphor between classical physics and neoclassical economics [4] and the initial use of simple diffusion processes, financial economics and statistical mechanics found a common language in stochastic dynamics with which statistical mechanics could be applied across a wide range of economics including finance, macroeconomics, and risk management (see, e.g., [44, 45, 52–56]). Underlying that common language is a fundamental information-theoretic basis, a basis with which financial economics can be expressed as probability theory with constraints.2 It is from the perspective of financial economics as probability theory with constraints that we propose to show how and why financial economics can be expressed as a quantum theory. Financial economics as quantum theory has developed in a manner similar to that taken by statistical mechanics, exploiting formal similarities (see [5, 18–30, 42, 46–48]). Financial economics as a quantum theory, however, lacks the history of common metaphor that enabled

References

[1]  The physical basis for employing stochastic dynamics, uncertainty, has been a part of economics generally for some time since the pioneering work of Keynes and Knight [49–51].
[2]  The information-theoretic basis of statistical mechanics is discussed in [57–61]. The relationship between information theory and economics is discussed in detail in [11] and references therein. In recent communications we have shown that the dynamics of economic systems can be derived from information asymmetry with respect to Fisher information and that this form of asymmetric information yields a powerful explanatory statistical mechanical framework for financial economics [10–15]. With a common information-theoretic basis for both statistical mechanics and financial economics the notion of statistical mechanics as probability theory with constraints (see, e.g., [62]) suggests that financial economics can be expressed as probability theory with constraints.
[3]  For a review of the statistical origins of quantum mechanics, see [63].
[4]  A discrete-time illustration of this assumption expresses observed price data as [64] where is the number of cash flows expected of the security, is the probability that the th cash flow is received, is the probability of default at time , is the fraction of the cash flow that is received in the event of default, is the interest rate, and is the discount factor associated with cash flow . If the cash flows are dividends then this is the dividend-discount model for stock prices. If , the cash flows for are coupon payments, and the final cash flow is a coupon and principal payment; this is the model for a government bond: with this becomes the model for a corporate bond. The price of a security is also shown in to be the sum of the probability weighted discounted by state-contingent future payments or .
[5]  Turnover is the ratio of the amount traded (or volume) to the average amount traded during a given time period [65]. As a financial-economic representation of the notion of effective mass, it represents the ease with which a security traverses price space within a market and is a function of the trading environment in the market. The use of turnover in this context of price momentum is suggested in the economics literature [66–68] and found formally in the econophysics literature with the amount traded introduced by Khrennikov and Choustova [5, 24–30] and turnover introduced by Ausloos and Ivanova [65].
[6]  The identity of the Lagrange multiplier depends on the physical or economic nature of the associated derivation. In a quantum mechanics, Reginatto identified in terms of Plank's constant as [6]. Derivations in optics or acoustics often identify in terms of a wavelength (see, e.g., [69] and references therein). In the current paper we have identified it as a function of economic variables.
[7]  These last two sentences paraphrase and adapt the original observations of Reginatto regarding the ontological and epistemological content of quantum theory [6].
[8]  J. E. Stiglitz, “The contributions of the economics of information to twentieth century economics,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 115, no. 4, pp. 1441–1478, 2000.
[9]  J. E. Stiglitz, “Information and the change in the paradigm in economics: part 1,” The American Economist, vol. 47, pp. 6–26, 2003.
[10]  J. E. Stiglitz, “Information and the change in the paradigm in economics: part 2,” The American Economist, vol. 48, pp. 17–49, 2004.
[11]  P. Mirowski, More Heat Than Light: Economics as Social Physics, Physics as Nature's Economics. Historical Perspectives on Modern Economics, Cambridge University Press, New York, NY, USA, 1991.
[12]  A. Yu. Khrennikov, Ubiquitous Quantum Structure, Springer, Berlin, Germany, 2010.
[13]  M. Reginatto, “Derivation of the equations of nonrelativistic quantum mechanics using the principle of minimum Fisher information,” Physical Review A, vol. 58, no. 3, pp. 1775–1778, 1998.
[14]  R. A. Fisher and K. Mather, “The inheritance of style length in Lythrum salicaria,” Annals of Eugenics, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 1–32, 1943.
[15]  B. R. Frieden, Physics from Fisher information: A Unification, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1998.
[16]  B. R. Frieden, Science from Fisher Information: A Unification, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2004.
[17]  B. R. Frieden, R. J. Hawkins, and J. L. D'Anna, “Financial economics from Fisher information,” in Exploratory Data Analysis Using Fisher Information, B. R. Frieden and R. A. Gatenby, Eds., pp. 42–73, Springer, London, UK, 2007.
[18]  B. R. Frieden and R. J. Hawkins, “Asymmetric information and economics,” Physica A, vol. 389, no. 2, pp. 287–295, 2010.
[19]  R. J. Hawkins and B. R. Frieden, “Fisher information and equilibrium distributions in econophysics,” Physics Letters A, vol. 322, no. 1-2, pp. 126–130, 2004.
[20]  R. J. Hawkins, B. R. Frieden, and J. L. D'Anna, “Ab initio yield curve dynamics,” Physics Letters Section A, vol. 344, no. 5, pp. 317–323, 2005.
[21]  R. J. Hawkins, M. Aoki, and B. R. Frieden, “Asymmetric information and macroeconomic dynamics,” Physica A, vol. 389, no. 17, pp. 3565–3571, 2010.
[22]  R. J. Hawkins and B. R. Frieden, “Econophysics,” in Science from Fisher Information: A Unification, B. R. Frieden, Ed., chapter 3, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2004.
[23]  A. Damodaran, Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset, Wiley Finance. John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY , USA, 2nd edition, 2002.
[24]  J. L. Synge, “Classical dynamics,” in Handbuch der Physik, pp. 1–225, Springer, Berlin, Germany, 1960.
[25]  H. Ishio and E. Haven, “Information in asset pricing: a wave function approach,” Annalen der Physik, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 33–44, 2009.
[26]  E. Haven, “Pilot-wave Theory and financial option pricing,” International Journal of Theoretical Physics, vol. 44, no. 11, pp. 1957–1962, 2005.
[27]  E. Haven, “Elementary quantum mechanical principles and social science: is there a connection?” Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 41–58, 2008.
[28]  E. Haven, “The variation of financial arbitrage via the use of an information wave function,” International Journal of Theoretical Physics, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 193–199, 2008.
[29]  E. Haven, “Private information and the “information function”: a survey of possible uses,” Theory and Decision, vol. 64, no. 2-3, pp. 193–228, 2008.
[30]  E. Haven, “The Blackwell and Dubins theorem and Rényi's amount of information measure: some applications,” Acta Applicandae Mathematicae, vol. 109, no. 3, pp. 743–757, 2010.
[31]  O. Al. Choustova, “Quantum Bohmian model for financial market,” Physica A, vol. 374, no. 1, pp. 304–314, 2007.
[32]  O. A. Shustova, “Quantum modeling of the nonlinear dynamics of stock prices: the Bohmian approach,” Rossi?skaya Akademiya Nauk, vol. 152, no. 2, pp. 405–415, 2007.
[33]  O. Choustova, “Application of Bohmian mechanics to dynamics of prices of shares: stochastic model of Bohm-Vigier from properties of price trajectories,” International Journal of Theoretical Physics, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 252–260, 2008.
[34]  O. Choustova, “Quantum probability and financial market,” Information Sciences, vol. 179, no. 5, pp. 478–484, 2009.
[35]  O. Choustova, “Quantum-like viewpoint on the complexity and randomness of the financial market,” in Coping With the Complexity of Economics, New Economic Windows, F. Petri and F. Hahn, Eds., Springer, Milan, Italy, 2009.
[36]  A. Khrennivov, “Classical and quantum mechanics on information spaces with applications to cognitive, psychological, social, and anomalous phenomena,” Foundations of Physics, vol. 29, no. 7, pp. 1065–1098, 1999.
[37]  A. Yu. Khrennikov, “Quantum-psychological model of the stock market,” Problems and Perspectives of Management, vol. 1, pp. 136–148, 2003.
[38]  F. Black and M. Scholes, “The pricing of options and corporate liabilities,” Journal of Political Economy, vol. 81, pp. 637–654, 1973.
[39]  R. C. Merton, “On the pricing of corporate debt: the risk structure of interest rates,” Journal of Finance, vol. 29, no. 2, pp. 449–470, 1974.
[40]  F. Black and J. C. Cox, “Valuing corporate securities: some effects of bond indenture provisions,” Journal of Finance, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 351–367, 1976.
[41]  E. Madelung, “Quantentheorie in hydrodynamischer form,” Zeitschrift für Physik, vol. 40, no. 3-4, pp. 322–326, 1927.
[42]  E. Nelson, “Derivation of the Schr?dinger equation from Newtonian mechanics,” Physical Review, vol. 150, no. 4, pp. 1079–1085, 1966.
[43]  E. Nelson, Dynamical Theories of Brownian Motion, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, USA, 1967.
[44]  H. Cramér, Mathematical Methods of Statistics, vol. 9 of Princeton Mathematical Series, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, USA, 1946.
[45]  C. Radhakrishna Rao, “Information and the accuracy attainable in the estimation of statistical parameters,” Bulletin of the Calcutta Mathematical Society, vol. 37, pp. 81–91, 1945.
[46]  L. D. Landau and E. M. Lifshitz, Quantum Mechanics: Non-Relativistic Theory, vol. 3 of Course of Theoretical Physics, Pergamon Press, New York, NY, USA, 3rd edition, 1977.
[47]  D. Bohm, “A suggested interpretation of the quantum theory in terms of “hidden” variables. I,” Physical Review, vol. 85, pp. 166–179, 1952.
[48]  D. Bohm, “A suggested interpretation of the quantum theory in terms of “hidden” variables. II,” Physical Review, vol. 85, pp. 180–193, 1952.
[49]  H. Kleinert, Path Integrals in Quantum Mechanics, Statistics, Polymer Physics, and Financial Markets, World Scientific, River Edge, NJ, USA, 5th edition, 2009.
[50]  R. Wright, “Statistical structures underlying quantum mechanics and social science,” International Journal of Theoretical Physics, vol. 46, no. 8, pp. 2026–2045, 2007.
[51]  J.-P. Bouchaud and M. Potters, Theory of Financial Risks, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2nd edition, 2003.
[52]  J. Voit, The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets, Texts and Monographs in Physics, Springer, Berlin, Germany, 3rd edition, 2005.
[53]  B. E. Baaquie, Quantum Finance, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2004.
[54]  B. E. Baaquie, Interest Rates and Coupon Bonds in Quantum Finance, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2010.
[55]  K. N. Ilinski, Physics of Finance: Gauge Modelling in Non-Equilibrium Pricing, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, UK, 2001.
[56]  J. M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, Harvest/Harcourt, San Diego, Calif, USA, 1936.
[57]  J. M. Keynes, “The general Theory of employment,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 51, pp. 209–223, 1937.
[58]  F. H. Knight, Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. Reprints of Economic Classics, Augustus M. Kelley, New York, NY, USA, 1921.
[59]  M. Aoki and H. Yoshikawa, Reconstructing Macroeconomics: A Perspective from Statistical Physics and Combinatorial Stochastic Processes. Japan-U.S. Center UFJ Bank Monographs on International Financial Markets, Cambridge University Press, New York, NY, USA, 2007.
[60]  D. K. Foley, “A statistical equilibrium Theory of markets,” Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 62, pp. 321–345, 1994.
[61]  D. K. Foley, “Statistical equilibrium in economics: method, interpretation, and an example,” in General Equilibrium: Problems and Prospects, Routledge Siena Studies in Political Economy, F. Petri and F. Hahn, Eds., chapter 4, Taylor & Francis, London, UK, 2002.
[62]  T. Lux, “Applications of statistical physics in finance and economics,” in Handbook of Research on Complexity, J. B. Rosser Jr. and K. L. Cramer, Eds., chapter 9, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, 2009.
[63]  V. M. Yakovenko and J. B. Rosser Jr., “Colloquium: statistical mechanics of money, wealth, and income,” Reviews of Modern Physics, vol. 81, no. 4, pp. 1703–1725, 2009.
[64]  R. Balian, “Information Theory and statistical entropy,” in From Microphysics to Macrophysics: Methods and Applications of Statistical Physics, vol. 1, chapter 3, Springer, New York, NY, USA, 1982.
[65]  A. Ben-Naim, A Farewell to Entropy: Statistical Thermodynamics Based on Information, World Scientific, Singapore, 2008.
[66]  H. Haken, Information and Self-Organization, Springer Series in Synergetics, Springer, Berlin, Germany, 2nd edition, 2000.
[67]  E. T. Jaynes, Papers on Probability, Statistics and Statistical Physics, vol. 158 of Synthese Library, edited volume of Jaynes' work edited by R. D. Rosenkrantz, D. Reidel, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 1983.
[68]  A. Katz, Principles of Statistical Mechanics: The Information Theory Approach, W. H. Freeman, San Francisco, Calif, USA, 1967.
[69]  D. Sornette, Critical Phenomena in Natural Sciences, Springer Series in Synergetics, Springer, Berlin, Germany, 2000.
[70]  U. Klein, “The statistical origins of quantum mechanics,” Physics Research International, vol. 2010, Article ID 808424, 18 pages, 2010.
[71]  J. S. Fons, “Using default rates to model the term structure of credit risk,” Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 50, pp. 25–32, 1994.
[72]  M. Ausloos and K. Ivanova, “Mechanistic approach to generalized technical analysis of share prices and stock market indices,” European Physical Journal B, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 177–187, 2002.
[73]  J. Karpoff, “The relation between price changes and trading volume: a survey,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 109–126, 1987.
[74]  L. Blume, D. Easley, and M. O'Hara, “Market statistics and technical analysis: the role of volume,” Journal of Finance, vol. 49, no. 1, pp. 153–181, 1994.
[75]  C. M. C. Lee and B. Swaminathan, “Price momentum and trading volume,” Journal of Finance, vol. 55, no. 5, pp. 2017–2069, 2000.
[76]  L. S. Schulman, Techniques and Applications of Path Integration, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, USA, 1981.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133