A parameterized method is developed to diagnose the air quality in Beijing and other cities with an index termed (parameters linking air-quality to meteorological elements PLAM) derived from a correlation between PM10 and relevant weather elements based on the data between 2000 and 2007. Key weather factors for diagnosing the air pollution intensity are identified and included in PLAM that include atmospheric condensation of water vapour, wet potential equivalent temperature, and wind velocity. It is found that the poor air quality days with elevated PM10 are usually associated with higher PLAM values, featuring higher temperature, humidity, lower wind velocity, and higher stability compared to the averaged values in the same period. Both 24?h and 72?h forecasts provided useful services for the day of the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympic Games and subsequent sport events. A correlation coefficient of 0.82 was achieved between the forecasts and (air pollution index API) and 0.59 between the forecasts and observed PM10, all reaching the significant level of 0.001, for the summer period. A correction factor was also introduced to enable the PLAM to diagnose the observed PM10 concentrations all year round. 1. Introduction Meteorological elements, including water vapor content, surface wind speed, visibility, and the diurnal temperature range are important parameters to effect air pollutant concentrations [1]. Studies using data from seven air quality stations during the period of 2000 to 2008 in Taiwan area showed that PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations were significantly controlled by the weather elements, resulting in high concentrations in spring and winter and low concentrations in fall and summer [2]. Even in summer when relatively low pollutant concentrations were found, the weather elements still had a large impact on air quality as the high temperature and humidity tended to increase PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations, due to the formation of secondary pollution [3, 4]. Recently, substantial advances have been made in the studies of the impact of human activities on air quality caused by the increasing pollutant concentrations, especially ozone and particulate matters (PM) [5–9]. The concentration variations of different aerosols in various regions of China, as well as the impacts of aerosol concentration on sand/dust storms (SDS) and hazy weather in the Asia and North American were investigated [1, 10–14]. It is found that the variation of aerosol and gaseous concentrations is closely related to the changing weather elements [3, 8, 15–19]. The key
References
[1]
I. Sabbah, “Impact of aerosol on air temperature in Kuwait,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 97, no. 3, pp. 303–314, 2010.
[2]
G. C. Fang and S. C. Chang, “Atmospheric particulate (PM10 and PM2.5) mass concentration and seasonal variation study in the Taiwan area during 2000–2008,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 98, no. 2-4, pp. 368–377, 2010.
[3]
X. Y. Zhang, Y. Q. Wang, W. L. Lin et al., “Changes of atmospheric composition and optical properties over beijing 2008 olympic monitoring campaign,” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 90, no. 11, pp. 1633–1651, 2009.
[4]
Y. Liu, W. Li, and X. Zhou, “Simulation of secondary aerosols over North China in summer,” Science in China D, vol. 48, no. 2, pp. 185–195, 2005.
[5]
G. Z. Zhang, X. D. Xu, J. Z. Wang, and Y. Q. Yang, “A study of characteristics and evolution of urban heat island over Beijing and its surrouding area,” Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, vol. 13, p. 41, 2002.
[6]
X. A. Xia, H. B. Chen, P. C. Wang, X. M. Zong, J. H. Qiu, and P. Gouloub, “Aerosol properties and their spatial and temporal variations over North China in spring 2001,” Tellus B, vol. 57, no. 1, pp. 28–39, 2005.
[7]
M. Xue, J. Ma, P. Yan, and X. Pan, “Impacts of pollution and dust aerosols on the atmospheric optical properties over a polluted rural area near Beijing city,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 101, no. 4, pp. 835–843, 2011.
[8]
J. Wang, Y. Yang, G. Zhang, and S. Yu, “Climatic trend of cloud amount related to the aerosol characteristics in Beijing during,” Acta Meteorologica Sinica, vol. 24, no. 6, pp. 762–775, 2010.
[9]
M. El-Metwally, S. C. Alfaro, M. M. Abdel Wahab, A. S. Zakey, and B. Chatenet, “Seasonal and inter-annual variability of the aerosol content in Cairo (Egypt) as deduced from the comparison of MODIS aerosol retrievals with direct AERONET measurements,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 97, no. 1-2, pp. 14–25, 2010.
[10]
C. H. Zhou, S. L. Gong, X. Y. Zhang et al., “Development and evaluation of an operational SDS forecasting system for East Asia: CUACE/Dust,” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 787–798, 2008.
[11]
Y. Q. Wang, X. Y. Zhang, R. Arimoto, J. J. Cao, and Z. X. Shen, “Characteristics of carbonate content and carbon and oxygen isotopic composition of northern China soil and dust aerosol and its application to tracing dust sources,” Atmospheric Environment, vol. 39, no. 14, pp. 2631–2642, 2005.
[12]
S. L. Gong, L. A. Barrie, J. P. Blanchet et al., “Canadian aerosol module: a size-segregated simulation of atmospheric aerosol processes for climate and air quality models 1. Module development,” Journal of Geophysical Research D, vol. 108, no. 1, pp. 3–16, 2003.
[13]
Y. Q. Yang, J. Z. Wang, Q. Hou, Y. Li, and C. H. Zhou, “Discriminant Genetic Algorithm Extended (DGAE) model for seasonal sand and dust storm prediction,” Science China Earth Sciences, vol. 54, no. 1, pp. 10–18, 2011.
[14]
L. Han, G. Zhuang, Y. Sun, and Z. Wang, “Local and non-local sources of airborne particulate pollution at Beijing—the ratio of Mg/Al as an element tracer for estimating the contributions of mineral aerosols from outside Beijing,” Science in China B, vol. 48, no. 3, pp. 253–264, 2005.
[15]
K. K. Sui, Z. F. Wang, J. Yang, F. B. Xie, and Y. Zhao, “Beijing persistent PM10 pollution and its relationship with general meteorological features,” Research of Environmental Sciences, vol. 20, p. 77, 2007.
[16]
Y. Ji, H. J. Fan, Q. F. Wang, and L. H. Nie, “Air particle concentration and meteorological factors,” Journal of Environmental Health, vol. 25, p. 554, 2008.
[17]
X. Xiao, L. Pengfei, G. Fuhai, et al., “Comparison of black carbon aerosols in urban and suburban areas of Shanghai,” Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, vol. 22, p. 158, 2011.
[18]
S. Y. Yu, Z. Zhang, C. Q. Peng, et al., “Effects of meteorological factors on SO2 and other atmospheric pollutions in Shenzhen China,” Journal of Environment and Health, vol. 25, p. 483, 2008.
[19]
G. Zhang, L. Bian, J. Wang, Y. Yang, W. Yao, and X. Xu, “The boundary layer characteristics in the heavy fog formation process over Beijing and its adjacent areas,” Science in China D, vol. 48, no. 2, pp. 88–101, 2005.
[20]
X. Pang, Y. Mu, X. Lee, Y. Zhang, and Z. Xu, “Influences of characteristic meteorological conditions on atmospheric carbonyls in Beijing, China,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 93, no. 4, pp. 913–919, 2009.
[21]
X. Y. Tang, Y. H. Zhang, and M. Shao, Atmospheric Environment Chemistry, Higher Education Press, Beijing, Japan, 2006.
[22]
Y. Q. Yang, Q. Hou, C. H. Zhou, H. L. Liu, Y. Q. Wang, and T. Niu, “Sand/dust storm processes in Northeast Asia and associated large-scale circulations,” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 25–33, 2008.
[23]
S. Wang and X. L. Zhang, “Meteorological features of PM10 pollution in Beijing,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, vol. 13, p. 177, 2002.
[24]
C. D. O'Dowd, J. A. Lowe, and M. H. Smith, “The effect of clouds on aerosol growth in the rural atmosphere,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 54, no. 4, pp. 201–221, 2000.
[25]
Y. Wang, J. Guo, T. Wang et al., “Influence of regional pollution and sandstorms on the chemical composition of cloud/fog at the summit of Mt. Taishan in northern China,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 99, no. 3-4, pp. 434–442, 2011.
[26]
C. Honoré, L. Rou?l, R. Vautard et al., “Predictability of European air quality: assessment of 3 years of operational forecasts and analyses by the PREV'AIR system,” Journal of Geophysical Research D, vol. 113, no. 4, Article ID D04301, 2008.
[27]
S. A. McKeen, S. H. Chung, J. Wilczak et al., “Evaluation of several PM2.5 forecast models using data collected during the ICARTT/NEAQS 2004 field study,” Journal of Geophysical Research D, vol. 112, no. 10, Article ID D10S20, 2007.
[28]
M. D. Moran, et al., “Particulate-Matter Forecasting with GEM-MACH15, A New Canadian Air-Quality Forecast Model,” in Proceedings of the 30th NATO/SPS ITM on Air Pollution Modelling and Its Application, San Francisco, Calif, USA, 2009.
[29]
H. Che, G. Shi, A. Uchiyama et al., “Intercomparison between aerosol optical properties by a PREDE skyradiometer and CIMEL sunphotometer over Beijing, China,” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol. 8, no. 12, pp. 3199–3214, 2008.
[30]
Y. Q. Yang, J. Z. Wang, Q. Hou, and Y. Q. Wang, “A plam index for beijing stabilized weather forecast in summer over Beijing,” Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, vol. 20, p. 649, 2009.
[31]
F. Y. Wei, Modern Diagnostic Techniques for Climatologically Statistics, China Meteorology Press, 1999.
[32]
H. L. Kuo, “Convective weather in conditionally unstable atmosphere,” Tellus, vol. 13, p. 441, 1961.
[33]
H. L. Kuo, “On formation and intensification of tropical cyclone through latent heat release in cumulus convection,” Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol. 22, p. 40, 1965.
[34]
H. L. Kuo, “Further studies on the parameterization of the influence of cumulus convection in large-scale flows,” Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol. 31, p. 1232, 1974.
[35]
S. Gao, X. Wang, and Y. Zhou, “Generation of generalized moist potential vorticity in a frictionless and moist adiabatic flow,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 31, no. 12, p. L12113, 2004.
[36]
A. B. Johnson and D. G. Baker, “Climatology of diffusion potential classes for Minneapolis-St. Paul,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, vol. 36, no. 12, pp. 1620–1628, 1997.
[37]
S. Gao, Y. Zhou, T. Lei, and J. Sun, “Analyses of hot and humid weather in Beijing city in summer and its dynamical identification,” Science in China, Series D: Earth Sciences, vol. 48, no. 2, pp. 128–137, 2005.
[38]
J. Z. Wang and Y. Q. Yang, Contemporary Weather Engineering, Meteorological Press, Beijing, Japan, 2000.