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The cohort component projection algorithm: technique, model and theory?

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Abstract:

If a student were to ask a North American demographer where to find a detailed treatment of population projections, chances are he or she would be sent to a text on demographic ¢ € techniques ¢ € or ¢ € methods, ¢ € or urged to take a course on ¢ € technical ¢ € demography. If the student were to look in a standard introductory textbook on population, or take a course on ¢ € population problems ¢ € or on ¢ € behavioural ¢ € or ¢ € substantive demography ¢ € chances are he or she would be exposed to at best a cursory treatment of population projections, with reference to their use in population forecasting or prediction.

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