The entry of the chinese light commercial vehicles: a threat to the hegemony of the dominant companies? [paper in Portuguese]

This paper has the objective to evaluate perspectives of the Brazilian auto market post-liberalization to imports in the 1990s, with emphasis in the sector of light commercial vehicles (LCV). The segment was the entrance door that allowed the internationalization of Chinese companies in mid-2006. The econometric study demonstrates that the Brazilian fleet will include over one million and two thousand vehicles in this category that in percentage terms represents a annual growth of 6%. The volume of sales of Chinese LCV has evolved to substantially higher rates of the order of 450% per year higher than the average growth rate of the Koreans rivals. In addition, it provides scientific foundation for the promotion of public policies on urban transport planning and vehicle emissions of pollutants in great urban centers.