A Quantification Of The 2008-2009 US Bailout Package

By examining the credit crunch causes and effects, this paper reflects on the necessity of the banks bailout package and its alternatives and quantifies a maximum non-inflationary bailout amount which is unlikely to cause permanent adjustments in the long term (trade-weighted) exchange rate equilibrium level of the US dollar. Furthermore it determines that the current bailout amounts are less than the maximum non-inflationary bailout amount and determines that to resolve the underlying credit crunch problem, an increase in non-bank bailout M1 and/or a tax reduction is necessary.