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Computational identification of adaptive mutants using the VERT systemKeywords: Adaptive evolution, hidden Markov Model, Visualizing evolution in real time, Population history Abstract: Using data obtained from several VERT experiments, we construct a hidden Markov-derived model to detect these adaptive events in VERT experiments without external intervention beyond initial training. Analysis of annotated data revealed that the model achieves consensus with human annotation for 85-93% of the data points when detecting adaptive events. A method to determine the optimal time point to isolate adaptive mutants is also introduced.The developed model offers a new way to monitor adaptive evolution experiments without the need for external intervention, thereby simplifying adaptive evolution efforts relying on population tracking. Future efforts to construct a fully automated system to isolate adaptive mutants may find the algorithm a useful tool.Strain development to improve the utility of microbial strains has been a focus of industry for decades. Numerous methods to improve strain characteristics have been developed such as random mutagenesis [1,2], genetic recombination [1,3-5], serial transfers in the presence of various inhibitors [6], and others [7-12]. A novel method to identify the occurrence and expansion of adaptive mutants within an evolving population was recently described by Kao and Sherlock [13], where the population dynamics of strains expressing different fluorescent proteins competing for the limiting carbon source in a chemostat system were monitored using fluorescent activated cell sorting (FACS). This approach (VERT, Visualizing Evolution in Real Time) has been used successfully to elucidate the population dynamics of Candida albicans in the presence of an antifungal agent [14] and generate Escherichia coli mutants tolerant of n-butanol (Reyes and Kao, manuscript in revision). The use of fluorescent labels improves the ability of the user to track various subpopulations in a quasi-real time fashion compared to microarrays [15] or quantitative PCR [16], and therefore makes the VERT method ideal for identifying adaptive events more quic
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