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Forecasting Companies’ Future Economic Development

Keywords: bankruptcy , discriminate analysis , prediction accuracy

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Abstract:

The subject of this paper is financial forecasting. The objective is to predict whether a company can continue in successful operationor is jeopardised by default. The paper takes into account an application of discriminate analysis concerning data files of 85 non-bankrupt,and 85 bankrupt firms in the Czech Republic, at which point mining companies are in minority, industrial enterprises predominate. 5-8 inputvariables in the form of ratios and indexes have been used for the analysis. The non-bankrupt vis-à-vis bankrupt classification accuracyis defined.

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