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资源科学  2010 

Analysis and Dynamic Prediction of China''s Development Based on the Ecological Footprint Method
基于生态足迹模型的中国未来发展情景分析

Keywords: Ecological footprint,Biocapacity,Dynamic model,Scenario analysis,China
生态足迹
,生物承载力,动态模型,情景分析,中国

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Abstract:

Ecological footprint,as a kind of physical indicator to measure the extent of human's use of nature resources,has become one of the most effective methods to quantitatively assess sustainable development,also drawing much attention since developed by Wackernagel and Rees in 1996.In the present work,the authors calculated per capita ecological footprint and biocapacity in China during the period 1949 to 2008.Then,fluctuant cycles of the per capita ecological footprint and biocapacity were decomposed and deri...

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