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资源科学 2010
Uncertainty Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on the Availability of Surface Water Resources
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Abstract:
Currently, the elements of the water cycle, such as temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration and streamflow, are the major factors incorporated in studies on the climate change impacts on water resources. Other factors that are directly used in the design of water engineering and the planning of water resources development and management, such as water availability, water supplies and demands, are rarely considered, although they are also sensitive to climate change. To this end, the application of cl...