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资源科学  2010 

Uncertainty Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on the Availability of Surface Water Resources
气候变化对地表水资源可利用量影响的不确定性分析

Keywords: Climate changes,Availability of surface water resources,Uncertainty,Downscaling,Losing deduction,Hanjiang basin
气候变化
,地表水资源可利用量,不确定性,降尺度,扣损法,汉江流域

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Abstract:

Currently, the elements of the water cycle, such as temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration and streamflow, are the major factors incorporated in studies on the climate change impacts on water resources. Other factors that are directly used in the design of water engineering and the planning of water resources development and management, such as water availability, water supplies and demands, are rarely considered, although they are also sensitive to climate change. To this end, the application of cl...

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