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气候与环境研究 2002
A Study of the Trend of Variability and Change of Annual Runoff in Southwest China
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Abstract:
The change of the average, variance, and skewness of two annual runoff series of 100 years for Cuntan and Wuzhou in Southwest China were presented. The probability of annual runoff for high, normal, and low flow years due to the change of mean annual runoff was studied. The estimated results can be useful in water resources management for considering adaptation to potential climate change in the future. It is needed to give the potential change of climate variability, adding to the future climate scenario for obtaining the related change of average, variance, and skewness of annual runoff.
