Application Research of KDD Technology in Complex and Uncertain System
KDD技术在复杂不确定性系统预测中的应用研究*

Aiming at the characteristics of complex uncertain system, by combining knowledge discovery theory with traditional forecasting methods, the paper discusses both theory and methods of knowledge discovery suitable for forecasting, and constructs multi-objective and multi-factor Integrated Forecasting Model based on Knowledge ( IFMK) . Its effectiveness and practicability are tested by forecasting reserves and yield as well as demand of petroleum.