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海洋科学  2006 

Relationship between population, resource, environment and development of reclamation area of tidal flats-a case of Cixi City
滩涂围垦区的PRED关系——以慈溪市为例

Keywords: reclamation area of tidal flats,relationship of population,resource,environment and development(PRED),system dynamics,simulation,alternative
滩涂围垦区
,PRED(滩涂围垦区的人口、资源、环境和发展不协调简称为PRED问题)关系,系统动力学,仿真,方案

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Abstract:

According to historical data and standard to build a small-scale wealthy society in 2020,using a system dynamics(SD) model,different conditions of relationship of population,resource,environment and development(PRED) in Cixi City after future policy application are artificially researched.It is pointed out at the same time that,in regard to Cixi City,the alternative 1 to only seek for speedy economical development at the price for sacrificing environment and the alternative 2 to first aim at environment protection at the price for developing slowly economy do not produce good results.Only the alternative 3 of giving attention to population,resource,environment and development is a first selection.

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