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环境科学  2005 

Analysis of China''s Energy Consumption and Its Impact on the Environment in the Future
我国未来能源消费及其对环境的影响分析

Keywords: energy consumption,environmental impact,forecast,sustainable development
能源消费
,环境影响,预测,可持续发展

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Abstract:

With the development of economy and urbanization, energy consumption and its impact on the environment in the future have become a focal point in China. Based on briefly reviewing energy consumption during 1980-2000 and analyzing its impact, three scenarios are assumed to forecast energy consumption status and analyze its impact on the environment in the future. The results indicate that the emissions of SO2, NOx, CO2 and soot dust caused by energy consumption would keep a high level in the future, and there are significant differences among the three scenarios' estimates. Improving energy efficiency and strengthening the exploitation and utilization of clean and renewable energy are suggested to mitigate the environmental pollution.

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