Integrated Model System for Environmental Policy Analysis
环境政策的综合影响评价模型系统及应用

An integrated model system for environmental policy analysis is built up with a Computable General Equilibrium(CGE) model as a core model,which is linked with an environmental model,air dispersion model,and health effect model(exposure-response functions) in an explicit way,therefore the model system is capable of evaluating the effects of policies on environment,health and economy and their interactions comprehensively.This method is used to analyze the effects of Beijing presumptive(energy) taxes on air quality,health,welfare and economic growth,and the conclusion is that sole presumptive taxes may slow down the economic growth,but the presumptive taxes with green tax reform can promote Beijing sustainable development.