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Doomsday for the Euro Area: Causes, Variants and Consequences of Breakup

DOI: 10.3390/ijfs1010001

Keywords: banking crisis, debt crisis, exchange rates, euro, optimum currency area, secession

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Abstract:

In this paper we describe the genesis of a doomsday scenario and discuss potential causes and motivations for a breakup of the euro area. For this purpose, we differentiate between the departure of weak and strong countries, and examine the impact of the reintroduction of a national currency on domestic debt, the domestic banking sector, EU membership and the freedom of trade. We also briefly analyze the social and political costs of the accompanying social disorder.

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