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地理研究  2009 

Change scenarios of China''''s provincial climate-sensitive components of energy consumption
中国各省级行政区未来气候耗能变化可能情景

Keywords: climate change,degree-day,energy consumption,future scenarios
气候变化
,度日,气候耗能,未来情景

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Abstract:

This paper projects future change in provincial climate-sensitive components of energy consumption of China,which resulted from the anthropogenic climate change and socio-economic development.The climate scenarios for 2020-2029 and 2050-2059 are obtained from seven IPCC AOGCMs simulations.The result shows that,by 2021-2030,the degree-days increase,compared with 1990-1999,in the south of China and decrease in the north of China.The situation for 2050-2059 is very similar to 2020-2029 in spatial patterns but ...

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