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地理研究 2009
Change scenarios of China''''s provincial climate-sensitive components of energy consumption
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Abstract:
This paper projects future change in provincial climate-sensitive components of energy consumption of China,which resulted from the anthropogenic climate change and socio-economic development.The climate scenarios for 2020-2029 and 2050-2059 are obtained from seven IPCC AOGCMs simulations.The result shows that,by 2021-2030,the degree-days increase,compared with 1990-1999,in the south of China and decrease in the north of China.The situation for 2050-2059 is very similar to 2020-2029 in spatial patterns but ...