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地球物理学报 2009
Research on earthquake chains and its orderly network structure in Jiangsu-South Yellow Sea region
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Abstract:
According to the information prediction theory, we have done an in-depth research on the spatio-temporal orderliness of M_s≥5 mid-strong earthquake chains in Jiangsu-South Yellow Sea region since 1839. We conceived M_s≥6 strong earthquake orderly network structure in the South Yellow Sea region and the whole region. We also did prediction of strong earthquake with magnitude 6 in the future and meanwhile we analysed and discussed the variation of seismicity. The result showed that since 1998 it has entered into a new quiet episode, and it may last to about 2042; the first strong earthquake with magnitude 6 of next active episode may take place in the year about 2053.