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地理学报  2007 

Characteristics and Mechanism of Tibet''s Industrial Structure Evolution from 1951 to 2004
1951~2004 年西藏产业结构的演进特征与机理

Keywords: industrial structure evolution,Shift-Share Method,Industry Barycenter Analysis,Tibet
产业结构演进
,偏离-份额分析法,产业重心分析法,西藏

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Abstract:

Industrial structure is the base and core of economic structure, and its evolution relates greatly to the speed and quality of economic development. Based on use of the correlative methods in industrial economy, econometrics, GIS and statistics, Tibet's industrial structure evolution from 1951 to 2004 is quantificationally estimated. After pointing out the four phases of Tibet's industrial structure evolution and their different characteristics, this paper analyzed the dynamic evolution of the three industries and their internal structure, employment and production structure, and upgrade and conversion of industrial structure by indicators. Furthermore, it concluded the analysis on quantitative characteristics of the internal structure evolution in the three typical periods of 1975-1984, 1985-1994 and 1995-2004 by using the SSM method and also the transformation of industrial barycenter of farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery by using GIS technique. Then the main driving forces of Tibet's industrial structure evolution are summarized as follows: restriction of demand structure, diversity of resource gift, the guidence of government and policies which play a very important role in the industrial evolution and the rapid development of techno-innovation ability of burgeoning industries uniqueness in the plateau region. Finally, strategies aiming at "optimizing the tertiary industry's structure, ensuring the primary industry's advantages, and supporting the secondary industrial development specially" are brought forward.

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