Simulation of Climate Change Induced by CO2 Increasing for East Asia with IAP/LASG GOALS Model
用 IAP／LASG GOALS模式模拟CO2增加引起的东亚地区气候变化

Two simulations, one for the control run and another for the perturbation run, with a global coupled ocean—atmosphere—land system model (IAP/ LASG GOALS version 4) have been carried out to study the global warming, with much detailed emphasis on East Asia. Results indicate that there is no climate drift in the control run and at the time of CO2 doubling the global temperature increases about 1.65°C. The GOALS model is able to simulate the observed spatial distribution and annual cycles of temperature and precipitation for East Asia quite well. But, in general, the model underestimates temperature and overestimates rainfall amount for regional annual average. For the climate change in East Asia, the temperature and precipitation in East Asia increase 2.1°C and 5% respectively, and the maximum warming occurs at middle—latitude continent and the maximum precipitation increase occurs around 25°N with reduced precipitation in the tropical western Pacific. This study is jointly supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 49875012) and the National Project “ Study on Short—range Climate Prediction System in China” (No.96-908-02-03-4).