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大气科学  2003 

A Study of the Climate Dynamics and Climate Prediction Theory
气候动力学与气候预测理论的研究

Keywords: climate dynamics,climate prediction,climate system,multi-scale climate variability
气候动力学
,气候预测,气候系统,多尺度气候变化

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Abstract:

Several important achievements on the climate dynamics and climate prediction theory at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IAP/CAS) during recent years have been briefly summarized in this paper. Through the investigation of multi-scale characteristics of the climate system and its dynamics, a series of dynamical theories of climate system have been proposed, a-long with the climate prediction theory and technology suitable for the monsoon climate over China. After that, we took the lead in carrying out the dynamical extra-seasonal climate prediction, which lead to the establishment of the comprehensive dynamical short-term climate prediction system in I AP, and this prediction system has been applied to the operational prediction of summer drought/flood conditions over China. Generally speaking. all of these achievements show not only their fundamental academic impor-tance, but also their great value for the real application, and so can provide valuable tools for the study of atmospheric sciences, climate and even environmental sciences.

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