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大气科学  2009 

Variation and Projection of Drought and Wet Conditions in Xinjiang
新疆气候的干湿变化及其趋势预估

Keywords: Palmer drought severity index,Xinjiang,variation,projection
Palmer干旱指数
,新疆,变化,预估

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Abstract:

Based on the continuous observation data at the 90 meteorological sites in Xinjiang,a self-calibrating Palmer drought severity index(PDSI) is firstly used to investigate the annual and seasonal variation of drought and wet conditions in the region during 1961-2003.During the concerned period,Xinjiang is characterized by normal climate condition,and both annual and seasonal mean climates are prone to become wetter as a whole.Qualitative analysis reveals that the recorded surface warming tends to induce droug...

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