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大气科学 1999
Role of Initial Information in Climate Prediction
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Abstract:
The role of initial information in climate prediction is studied in this paper by using the global analysis method,cell-to-cell mapping Corresponding with the actual procedure of recognizing the climate,there are four kinds of initial conditions in climate prediction Using these four kinds of initial conditions,the forecast capability of hierarchy prediction and value prediction in a most simplified atmospheric model is studied in this paper The results indicate that the more initial information is grasped,the less the prediction errors are caused,and then the higher prediction accuracy the model will have