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大气科学  2009 

Uncertainty Analysis of a Dust-Transport Model
沙尘输送模式的不确定性分析

Keywords: dust-transport model,uncertainty,sensitivity experiments
沙尘输送模式
,不确定性,敏感性试验

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Abstract:

This paper estimates the uncertainty in the outputs of a dust-transport model due to physical parameterizations (dry deposition) and input data (source intensity and wind fields). Sensitivity experiments are generated from a reference simulation in which one parameter is changed at a time. Comparisons of the simulations and observations allow us to access the impact of each process and the robustness of the model. The case study is a 10-day simulation of dust concentrations over East Asia during 15-24 March...

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