Study on Synthesis Evaluation of Tourism Environmental Carrying Capacity of Shandong Peninsula Urban Agglomeration
山东半岛城市群旅游环境承载力综合评价研究

As the trend of economic globalization and regional economic integration is increasingly apparent and popular,urban agglomerations have become the extremely important and significant parts which participate in regional collaboration in some countries and regions.However,the related research on the connection between the tourism development and tourism environmental carrying capacity of urban agglomerations in china is not enough or extremely deficient at present.To describe quantitatively the potential carrying capacity of tourism environmental system and the sustainable carrying state of tourism environment,and to construct an evaluation system of tourism environmental carrying capacity and a measurement model of tourism environmental sustainable carrying capacity,the paper provides a new idea and method for quantitative study of tourism environmental carrying capacity.Then taking Shandong peninsula urban agglomeration as an example,tourism environmental carrying capacity and carrying state of it from 2000 to 2005 have been studied empirically.At the same time,it applies the grey model to simulate and forecast the regional tourism environmental carrying state from 2006 to 2010.Finally,some optimum and adjustment suggestions to enhance and improve tourism environmental carrying capacity of Shandong peninsula urban agglomeration have been elaborated.