DISCUSSION ON INDUCED EARTHUAKE IN SHUIKOU RESERVOIR AREA OF FUJIAN PROVINCE AND SEISMIC ACTIVITY TREND
福建水口水库诱发地震及其发展趋势探讨

The sequence and activity characteristics of Shuikou reservoir induced earthquake are analyzed with several methods,such as probabilistic evaluation,comprehensive effect parameter E evaluation,two-step comprehensive fuzzy evaluation,the maximum magnitude of historical earthquakes evaluation,etc..The results show that the Shuikou ML4.1 earthquake on April 21,1996 is a main-earthquake,and from now on,the possibility occuring ML>3 induced earthquake in Shuikou reservoir area is low.