Probability Density Function Modeling for Power System Load Forecasting Errors
电力系统负荷预报误差的概率密度函数建模

According to the principles of statistics, a modeling method of probability density functions for power system load forecasting errers is presented in this paper. The modeling formulae are given and the asymptotic unbiased and the mean square convergence are derived.This method has been successfully applied to the analysis of HLJ power system load forecasting errors.