A Positive Study of the Evaluation on the Development of Regional Agricultural Recycling Economy
区域农业循环经济发展评价及其实证研究

At present,conventional agriculture is confronted with a series of problems,such as environmental pollution,ecological damage,resources waste,etc.People begin to focus on the development of regional agricultural recycling economy,for improving efficiency in use of resources and economic benefit.The index system for evaluating agricultural recycling economy was finished by BPEIR model and Delphi method.This paper studies the index system for evaluating the development about regional agricultural recycling economy,taking Jiangsu Province as a case. Based on the quantitative analysis by AHP method,it makes a comprehensive evaluation on the development of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu Province from 1985 to 2003.The result shows the development process of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu can be divided into three phrases.At first stage,the level of agricultural recycling economy improved slowly.Then,it developed quickly.Presently,the development of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu Province is in a steady situation. As a whole,the level of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu Province goes up continuously. The indexes of evaluation fasten on the section from 1 to 1.5. Secondly, he limiting factors to the development of agricultural recycling economy are disclosed in 2003.The primary obstacle was the reduction of resources input.The proportions of the obstacle to resources input,reduction recycling use of resources,development of economy and society, safety of resources and environment are respectively 579%,13% and ll%.In order to improve the level of agricultural recycling economy of Jiangsu Province,some advices are put forward, such as the reduction of resources input, construction of eco-agriculture and organic agriculture,development of agricultural industrializa-tion.