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自然资源学报 1993
THE IMPACT OF THE CONTEMPORARY CLIMATIC CHANGE ON CHINA''S HEAT RESOURCE
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Abstract:
In the global climatic change, China's climatic change will be more complicated and its impact on the agricultural climatic resources and agricultural production will also be more obvious. Therefore, it is absolutely necessary taking the agricultural climatic resources as a comprehensive climatic information system to evaluate he impact of the climatic change on agriculture and explore the correspondent ways to deal with it. This article studies the impact of climatic change on China's heat resource, and makes a co relation analysis of the climatic conditions and the agricultural climatic heat resource in order to establish a regression equation and make simulant computation with the Monte Carlo Method. In addition, it analyses the change of the heat resource that possible results from climatic change, evaluates its impact on agriculture, and finally sets forth the correspondent countermeasu es.