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中国沙漠  2007 

Evaluation of Coordinated Development Degrees of Environment-Resource-Economy System in Ecological Fragile Area——A Case Study in Minqin District
生态脆弱地区资源环境经济协调发展程度评价——以民勤地区为例

Keywords: ecological fragile area,coordinated development degree,grey system,prediction,生态脆弱地区&searchField=keyword">\!environment-resource-economy" system
生态脆弱地区
,协调发展度,灰色系统方法,预测,资源-环境-经济复合系统

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Abstract:

This paper has analyzed the characters of "environment-resource-economy" system in ecological fragile area,has established the integrated evaluating index system by taking Minqin district of Gansu province as study example, has calculated and predicted the coordinated development degree of \!environment-resource-economy" system of the study region by grey system method and the model of calculating the coordinated development degree.The result suggests that the coordinated development degree of the \!environment-resourceeconomy" system in Minqin is very low and will decline in the future 10 years.Only if adopting measures on improving the ability of developing,coordinating and sustaining,the coordinated development degree would go up.Further,some problems which are needed to be solved for the sustainable development of Minqin have been proposed in the paper.

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