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系统工程理论与实践 2007
Research on Spurious Co-persistence of Threshold Vector GARCH Model with Structural Change
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Abstract:
Volatility persistence is an important property of finance time series.The relationship between GARCH model with structural change and IGARCH model is proved in theory,and the definition of spurious co-persistence of threshold vector GARCH model with structural change is given based on spurious persistence in volatility.Empirical results show that daily return series of Shanghai and Shenzhen have strong persistence in volatility and they are spurious co-persistent.