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系统工程理论与实践 2010
Risk analysis of continuously rising and falling stock yield based on Copula-ACD method
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Abstract:
The Log-ACD model which includes thenumber of daysvariable and Copula model are used respectively to fit the marginal and joint distribution of continuously rising and falling stock yield. The result of test shows that this model is comparatively better than traditional methods.In this paper, Shanghai stock 180 index is used for empirical analysis and conditional VaR is computed for risk analysis. The empirical result proves that this model is consistent to actual market,and investor can usefigure of rising...