Empirical study of systematic dynamics model construction of Beijing commercial housing market and application in early warning
北京市商品住宅系统动力学模型构建及其在预警中的应用

The outbreak of the subprime crisis caused the academic concern of risk and early warning systems on real estate market.In this paper,based on system thinking,we set up a systematic dynamics model of the commercial housing market of Beijing after the analysis of the factors effecting commercial housing market.Then,we prove the validity of the model by comparing the result of simulation and the historical data of Beijing commercial housing market.Finally,we obtain the value of several early warning indicator...