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Jump spillovers between domestic and overseas non-synchronous futures markets: Based on the perspective of risk events
国内外非同步期货交易市场之间的跳跃溢出行为: 基于风险事件的视角

Keywords: risk event,stochastic volatility with correlated jumps(SVCJ),Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC),non-synchronous,jump spillover
风险事件
,SVCJ,MCMC,非同步,跳跃溢出

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Abstract:

For exploring jump spillovers between domestic and overseas non-synchronous futures markets, the conditional jump spillover probabilities,jump spillover intensity,frequency degree of jump spillover and average size of jump spillover between domestic and overseas non-synchronous futures markets were investigated empirically through Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method.The results show that there are significant conditional jump spillover probabilities and jump spillover intensity.In general, the ju...

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